Fluminense vs Coritiba: match statistics
Fluminense vs Coritiba: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fluminense played Coritiba in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 9 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Fluminense: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Coritiba: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fluminense scores 1.57 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Coritiba scores 1.32 and concedes 1.54. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fluminense 75%, Coritiba 54%. Over 2.5: Fluminense 54%, Coritiba 54%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Fluminense has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.18. Fluminense: 14.7 shots per match, Coritiba: 11.2.
Match halves
Fluminense: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.96. Coritiba: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Fluminense: 76-90+ (15 goals). Coritiba: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fluminense are the favorites: they have won 71% of their home matches, while Coritiba have won 36% of their away games. At home, the hosts average 1.71 goals scored and 1.00 conceded, while the visitors average 1.29 goals scored and 1.71 conceded away from home. Fluminense’s advantage is further underlined by the quality of chances: their home xG stands at 1.97, compared with 1.19 xG for their opponents, while Coritiba record 0.99 xG away and allow opponents to generate 2.08 xG. In their last five matches, Fluminense have recorded 3 wins and conceded 6 goals, while Coritiba have won twice but conceded as many as 13. Although the visitors have scored 9 goals in that span compared with the hosts’ 8, their defensive frailties point to a Fluminense victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 60% of Fluminense’s games and 80% of Coritiba’s, a strong indication in favor of BTTS. Coritiba conceded an average of 2.6 goals over this period, while their opponents created chances worth 2.32 xG per match, making a home goal likely. The visitors’ chances of scoring are supported by an average of 1.8 goals across their last 5 appearances and the fact that Fluminense kept a clean sheet in only 14% of their matches this season. The risk to this pick comes from Coritiba failing to score in 36% of its matches and its season xG of just 0.99; however, both teams’ recent scoring form tips the assessment toward BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been beaten in 71% of Fluminense matches and 79% of Coritiba matches. The hosts average 1.36 goals scored, while the visitors concede 1.71; in addition, opponents generate an average of 2.08 xG against Coritiba. In their last 5 matches, Coritiba conceded an average of 2.6 goals, and each of those games finished with at least 3 goals. The 2.5 line is less reliable, as it has been beaten in 50% of Fluminense matches and 57% of Coritiba matches this season. With a projected total of 3.10 goals, the 1.5 line therefore offers a clearer signal than the higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is for Fluminense to lead at the break and maintain their advantage through to the final whistle, although a draw at half-time remains a realistic possibility. The hosts led at half-time in 36% of matches, while Coritiba were trailing at that point in 43%; across their last five games, the figures were 40% for both teams. Fluminense are also favoured by their higher number of shots on target per match — 4.00 compared with 2.93 — and higher xG, at 1.38 versus 0.99, indicating a greater ability to create chances. The visitors concede an average of 1.71 goals per match, rising to 2.6 over their last five games, so the hosts holding onto a lead appears more likely than a Coritiba turnaround. Caution is nevertheless warranted: both teams won 36% of their matches over the full sample, so Fluminense's advantage is not beyond question.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fluminense | Coritiba | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fluminense is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Fluminense · 1.4 pts / match - Coritiba
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fluminense is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.32 goals / match - Coritiba
Fluminense is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.54 goals / match - Coritiba
Fluminense scores in 89% of matches (25 of 28 matches), while Coritiba keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Coritiba scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fluminense
Over / Under - Coritiba
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fluminense is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Fluminense · 1.21 pts / match - Coritiba
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Coritiba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fluminense
Coritiba
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fluminense | Liga | Coritiba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.86 | 2.67 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 60% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fluminense 0 - 1 - 0 Coritiba. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fluminense vs Coritiba?
The Serie A match finished Fluminense 4:0 Coritiba. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs Coritiba?
Fluminense score 1.57 goals per game on average and Coritiba 1.32. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Fluminense's matches and 54% of Coritiba's.
What form are Fluminense and Coritiba in?
Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Coritiba 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs Coritiba?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fluminense vs Coritiba: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.