Foggia vs Potenza Calcio: match statistics
Foggia vs Potenza Calcio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Foggia played Potenza Calcio in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Foggia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Potenza Calcio: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Foggia scores 1.00 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Potenza Calcio scores 2.63 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Foggia 25%, Potenza Calcio 75%. Over 2.5: Foggia 13%, Potenza Calcio 75%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Potenza Calcio has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.67. Foggia: 16.5 shots per match, Potenza Calcio: 16.3.
Match halves
Foggia: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63. Potenza Calcio: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.75.
Goals by minute
Foggia: 76-90+ (3 goals). Potenza Calcio: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Potenza Calcio have won 6 of their 8 matches this season, while Foggia have recorded 3 wins. In their last five games, the visitors have scored 14 goals compared with 6 for the hosts. Away from home, Potenza average 2 goals and 7.75 shots on target per match, whereas Foggia score just 0.75 goals at home from 5 shots on target. Chance quality also favours the visitors: their away xG stands at 2.14, compared with Foggia’s home xG of 1.79, although the hosts fail to convert their chances into goals more often than their opponents. Potenza’s main concern is their defence, which concedes an average of 1.5 goals away from home, while Foggia allow opponents just 0.75 goals at home. Despite the hosts’ defensive edge, Potenza’s finishing and goal tally make an away win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Across the season-long samples, BTTS landed in 75% of both teams’ matches, well above the league average of 53%. Foggia averaged 3.25 goals at home, while Potenza averaged 2.0 away, and both teams kept a clean sheet in only 25% of their matches. Their attacking potential is supported by xG figures of 1.70 for the hosts and 2.14 for the visitors, along with 6.75 and 7.75 shots on target per match, respectively. Recent form calls for caution: BTTS landed only once in Foggia’s last five matches, compared with four times in Potenza’s last five. Despite this disparity, the attacks’ season-long scoring records and the regularity with which both sides concede point towards each team scoring at least once.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams went over the 1.5-goal line in 75% of their matches, providing a strong basis for backing Over 1.5 goals. Potenza scored an average of 2.8 goals and conceded 1.8 across their last five matches, while Foggia averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The visitors’ attacking potential is reflected in their average xG of 2.14, compared with 1.70 for the hosts, and the two teams average a combined 14.5 shots on target per match. The 3.2-goal forecast also points to a chance of going over the 2.5-goal line, but Foggia’s lower scoring output over their last five matches makes Over 1.5 goals the clearly safer pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal in favour of Foggia leading at the break is their home record: they led in 3 of 4 matches, while Potenza were trailing at half-time in 2 of 4 away games. The hosts won all 4 of their home fixtures and scored an average of 3.25 goals in them, which points to them maintaining their advantage through to the final whistle. After the break, Foggia averaged 2 goals at home, although Potenza conceded only 0.5 goals away in this period of the match, so a turnaround by the visitors remains a realistic risk. Recent form also calls for caution: Foggia have not led at half-time in any of their last 5 matches, and Potenza’s away xG stands at 2.14 compared with Foggia’s 1.70 at home. Despite these caveats, the hosts’ superior home results and first-half performances make leading at half-time and winning at full-time the single most likely scenario in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Foggia | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Potenza Calcio is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Foggia · 2 pts / match - Potenza Calcio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Potenza Calcio is 163% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Foggia · 2.63 goals / match - Potenza Calcio
Foggia is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Foggia · 1.38 goals / match - Potenza Calcio
Foggia scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Potenza Calcio scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Foggia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Foggia
Over / Under - Potenza Calcio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Potenza Calcio is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Foggia · 1.75 pts / match - Potenza Calcio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Foggia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Potenza Calcio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Foggia
Potenza Calcio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Foggia | Liga | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.88 | 2.82 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 53% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 52% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 75% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Foggia 0 - 0 - 2 Potenza Calcio. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Foggia vs Potenza Calcio?
The Serie C Group C match finished Foggia 1:3 Potenza Calcio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Foggia and Potenza Calcio?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Foggia won 0, Potenza Calcio won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Foggia vs Potenza Calcio?
Foggia score 1.00 goals per game on average and Potenza Calcio 2.63. The Serie C Group C average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Foggia's matches and 75% of Potenza Calcio's.
What form are Foggia and Potenza Calcio in?
Over the last 5 games Foggia have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Potenza Calcio 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Foggia vs Potenza Calcio?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.