Forfar Athletic vs East Kilbride: match statistics
Forfar Athletic vs East Kilbride: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forfar Athletic played East Kilbride in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Forfar Athletic: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. East Kilbride: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forfar Athletic scores 1.38 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. East Kilbride scores 2.09 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forfar Athletic 56%, East Kilbride 69%. Over 2.5: Forfar Athletic 53%, East Kilbride 69%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
East Kilbride has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.16. Forfar Athletic: 8.1 shots per match, East Kilbride: 10.1.
Match halves
Forfar Athletic: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.47. East Kilbride: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Forfar Athletic: 31-45+ (12 goals). East Kilbride: 31-45+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
East Kilbride appears to be the favorite: they sit 1st in the table with 18 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses this season, while Forfar Athletic has recorded 10 wins, 10 draws and 12 losses. In the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 10 goals and average 2.2 points per game (3 wins, 2 draws), whereas Forfar have only 5 goals and average 1.0 point per game (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). Offensively East Kilbride is more productive — averaging 2.19 goals away, 9.88 shots per match and 5 shots on target with a 22% conversion rate, versus Forfar at home 1.56 goals, 8.44 shots and 4.63 on target with a 19% conversion. Defensively both teams concede on average 1.31 goals per match, but the visitors have a higher xG (1.37 vs 1.25) and a much lower percentage of matches without scoring (6% for East vs 19% for Forfar), indicating East creates and converts better chances. Considering the edge in efficiency, greater number of shots on target and stronger last-five form, I predict a win for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS is strongly supported by history — Forfar Athletic have BTTS in 63% of matches and East Kilbride in 75%, versus a league average of 64%. Over the last 5 meetings these figures are 60% and 80% respectively, indicating East Kilbride in particular has recently been consistently involved in Goal/Goal outcomes. Seasonal goals averages are 2.0 for Forfar and 2.19 for East Kilbride, with goals conceded averages of 1.44 and 1.31; in the last 5 matches Forfar scored 5 and conceded 7, while East Kilbride scored 10 and conceded 5, so both teams create and concede chances. xG confirms this picture: attacking xG 1.44 vs 1.37 and xG against 1.14 vs 1.20, with average shots on target 5.19 and 5.0, indicating a realistic exchange of opportunities. The low percentage of clean sheets (25% and 19%) and the high percentage of matches over 2.5 goals (69% for both) reinforce the 'both teams to score' scenario; therefore I pick BTTS - Yes with a probability of 80% and No 20%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match projects as a goal-rich affair: Forfar averages 2.0 goals per game, East Kilbride 2.19, and the league averages 2.94 goals per match. Based on xG, I estimate 1.32 goals for Forfar (attacking xG 1.44 vs opponent defensive xG 1.20, average 1.32) and 1.26 for East Kilbride (attacking xG 1.37 vs opponent defensive xG 1.14, average 1.26), totaling ~2.58 goals. Season stats confirm this: Over 1.5 occurs in Forfar’s matches in 100% and in East Kilbride’s in 94%; Over 2.5 in 69% for both teams; matches involving both sides have seen BTTS in 63% and 75% of cases — all of which increases the likelihood of at least 2–3 goals. Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (very high 100%/94%); Over 2.5 is moderately likely (~69%); Over 3.5 is less certain given the combined xG ~2.58 (estimated Over 3.5 ~45% vs Under 55%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis shows Forfar hold the advantage at the break: the hosts led at half-time in 63% of matches (10 instances) and score on average 1.38 goals in the first half, while East Kilbride average 1.25 first-half goals and lead at the break in 50% of games. Over the full 90 minutes both teams have similar attacking metrics (average xG 1.44 for Forfar versus 1.37 for East Kilbride) and both have 56% win rate this season, which supports maintaining the home side’s advantage. However, the visitors’ second-half strength must be taken into account: East Kilbride have a 60% win rate in the last 5 matches (vs 20% for Forfar) and score on average 0.94 goals after the break compared to 0.63 for the hosts, with second-half goal difference +6 for the visitors vs -2 for Forfar. Considering the high share of matches with a goal before half-time for the hosts (94% vs 81% for the visitors) and Forfar’s dominance in half-time statistics, the most likely scenario is the hosts leading at the break and Forfar winning the match (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forfar Athletic | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
East Kilbride is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Forfar Athletic · 2.2 pts / match - East Kilbride
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Kilbride is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Forfar Athletic · 2.09 goals / match - East Kilbride
Forfar Athletic scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
East Kilbride scores in 91% of matches (29 of 32 matches), while Forfar Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forfar Athletic
Over / Under - East Kilbride
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forfar Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 31%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
East Kilbride - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (20 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forfar Athletic
East Kilbride
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Forfar Athletic | Liga | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.78 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 64% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 57% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 21% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Forfar Athletic 0 - 0 - 3 East Kilbride. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Forfar Athletic vs East Kilbride?
The League Two match finished Forfar Athletic 1:0 East Kilbride. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Forfar Athletic and East Kilbride?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Forfar Athletic won 0, East Kilbride won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Forfar Athletic vs East Kilbride?
Forfar Athletic score 1.38 goals per game on average and East Kilbride 2.09. The League Two average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Forfar Athletic's matches and 69% of East Kilbride's.
What form are Forfar Athletic and East Kilbride in?
Over the last 5 games Forfar Athletic have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and East Kilbride 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forfar Athletic vs East Kilbride?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Forfar Athletic vs East Kilbride: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.