Forge FC vs HFX Wanderers FC: match statistics
Forge FC vs HFX Wanderers FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forge FC played HFX Wanderers FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Forge FC: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. HFX Wanderers FC: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forge FC scores 1.52 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. HFX Wanderers FC scores 1.46 and concedes 1.63. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forge FC 48%, HFX Wanderers FC 63%. Over 2.5: Forge FC 39%, HFX Wanderers FC 54%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Forge FC has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.20. Forge FC: 14.1 shots per match, HFX Wanderers FC: 10.2.
Match halves
Forge FC: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 1.09. HFX Wanderers FC: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Forge FC: 61-75 (9 goals). HFX Wanderers FC: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 5-2-0. Average goals 1.71, BTTS 43%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Forge FC are the favourites: they have won 73% of their home matches, while HFX Wanderers FC have lost 58% of their away fixtures. The hosts are unbeaten in their last five matches, with two wins and three draws; the visitors have lost three times over the same period. At home, Forge concede an average of just 0.55 goals and keep a clean sheet in 64% of matches, while HFX concede an average of 1.67 goals away from home. The xG figures highlight the gap in chance quality: Forge average 1.64 xG at home, compared with HFX’s 1.00 away, while allowing opponents chances worth 1.83 xG. The visitors have scored 10 goals in their last five matches, but have also conceded 9. Their attack could threaten Forge, but it does not offset the hosts’ clear defensive advantage.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 67% of Forge FC matches and 58% of HFX Wanderers matches, while the figure stood at 60% across the teams’ last 5 games. Forge average 1.58 goals, while HFX concede 1.67; the hosts’ attacking edge is also reflected in their xG of 1.42 compared with the 1.83 xG conceded by the visitors. HFX’s chances of scoring are supported by an average of 2.0 goals scored in their last 5 matches, although Forge conceded just 0.6 goals per game over that period. The hosts’ solid defence increases the risk of the visitors failing to score, but HFX’s recent form and season average of 1.33 goals per game point towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Forge score an average of 1.58 goals per match, while HFX concede 1.67; moreover, the home side's xG is 1.42, whereas their opponents allow chances worth 1.83 xG. The visitors average 1.33 goals scored, and Forge concede 1.58, although the hosts have reduced that figure to 0.6 goals per match across their last five games. At least two goals were scored in 67% of Forge matches and 75% of HFX games, supporting the Over 1.5 goals pick. The 2.5 line is less certain: it was cleared in 58% of the hosts' matches and 50% of the visitors' games, but in only 20% of Forge's last five outings. Therefore, with a forecast of 2.95 total goals, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, without needing to assume a particularly high-scoring game.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by a Forge FC win is the most likely outcome. HFX Wanderers were level at the break in 6 of 12 matches, compared with 4 of 12 for Forge; in addition, the home side averaged just 0.4 goals before half-time across their last five matches. After the break, the advantage shifts towards Forge: the home side won the second half in 42% of matches, while HFX lost it in 42% and conceded an average of 1.08 goals. Forge also have the better underlying attacking numbers, averaging 1.42 xG compared with 1.00 for the visitors, whose opponents average 1.83 xG. In their last five matches, Forge have not lost and conceded an average of 0.6 goals, whereas HFX lost three times and conceded an average of 1.8 goals, strengthening the case for a home win despite a closely contested first half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forge FC | HFX Wanderers FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forge FC is 120% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Forge FC · 1.63 goals / match - HFX Wanderers FC
Forge FC scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while HFX Wanderers FC keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
HFX Wanderers FC scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Forge FC keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forge FC
Over / Under - HFX Wanderers FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forge FC is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Forge FC · 1.29 pts / match - HFX Wanderers FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forge FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
HFX Wanderers FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forge FC
HFX Wanderers FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Forge FC | Liga | HFX Wanderers FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.26 | 3.06 | • 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 64% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 55% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 20% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 82% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Forge FC 5 - 2 - 0 HFX Wanderers FC. Average goals 1.71, both teams scored in 43% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Forge FC vs HFX Wanderers FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Forge FC 3:3 HFX Wanderers FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Forge FC and HFX Wanderers FC?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Forge FC won 5, HFX Wanderers FC won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Forge FC vs HFX Wanderers FC?
Forge FC score 1.52 goals per game on average and HFX Wanderers FC 1.46. The Canadian Premier League average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Forge FC's matches and 63% of HFX Wanderers FC's.
What form are Forge FC and HFX Wanderers FC in?
Over the last 5 games Forge FC have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and HFX Wanderers FC 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forge FC vs HFX Wanderers FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.