Forge FC vs Vancouver FC: match statistics
Forge FC vs Vancouver FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forge FC played Vancouver FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match was played on 1 July 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Forge FC: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Vancouver FC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forge FC scores 1.50 and concedes 0.40 goals per match. Vancouver FC scores 0.90 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forge FC 30%, Vancouver FC 50%. Over 2.5: Forge FC 30%, Vancouver FC 30%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Forge FC has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.58. Forge FC: 13.8 shots per match, Vancouver FC: 14.3.
Match halves
Forge FC: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.10. Vancouver FC: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Forge FC: 16-30 (4 goals). Vancouver FC: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 4-1-0. Average goals 1.80, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Forge FC are the clear favorites: the hosts have won 8 of 10 matches this season, boast an 80% home win rate and 100% clean sheets at home, conceding on average 0 goals per game. In their last 5 fixtures Forge scored 8 goals (1.6 per game) and average 2.4 points, while Vancouver scored 5 in their last 5 (1.0 per game) and average 1.4 points per match. Vancouver’s away record shows only a 25% win rate and 50% of matches without a goal conceded, despite an away xG of 1.66 (which actually converts to 1.00 goals), indicating finishing issues. Defensively Forge have a clear edge: home average xG against of 0.79 and a better conversion rate of 8% versus Vancouver’s 6%, with a lower share of matches without a goal (20% vs 50%). Considering Forge’s 0% home loss rate and Vancouver’s 50% away loss rate, plus the stability in form (2.4 pts per game vs 1.4), I expect a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams share a seasonal BTTS rate of 50%, versus a league average BTTS of 57%, providing an initial edge to the Goal/Goal scenario. In the last 5 matches Vancouver posts BTTS 60% (3/5) and Forge 40% (2/5); Forge scored 8 and conceded 3 in those five (avg 1.6 scored, 0.6 conceded), Vancouver 5 scored and 6 conceded (avg 1.0 and 1.2). Offensive xG is 1.54 for Forge and 1.66 for Vancouver, with xG against 1.19 and 1.08 respectively, indicating both sides generate ~1.5 xG and allow chances to opponents. Additionally, shots 13.5 vs 15.5 and shots on target 4.0 vs 4.5, together with zero clean sheets this season (0% for both), increase the likelihood of both teams scoring, so BTTS - Yes is assessed as more probable.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model comparing offensive and defensive potential yields 1.31 xG for Forge ((1.54 + 1.08)/2 = 1.31) and 1.43 xG for Vancouver ((1.66 + 1.19)/2 = 1.43), giving a total of approximately 2.74 expected goals. These values are close to the league average of 2.75 and exceed the teams' seasonal goal averages (Forge 0.83, Vancouver 1.00). In the last 5 matches Forge scored 8 goals (1.6 per match) and conceded 3, while Vancouver scored 5 goals (1.0) and conceded 6. Seasonal percentages of matches over 1.5 goals are 67% for Forge and 50% for Vancouver, which provides a strong signal for Over 1.5; meanwhile percentages for Over 2.5 are lower (Forge 33%, Vancouver 25%). BTTS at 50%/50% and similar xG values for both sides (1.31 and 1.43) indicate both teams have scoring chances, so the strongest and most reliable recommendation is Over 1.5. I rate Over 1.5 at 80% (Under 20%), Over 2.5 at 56% (Under 44%) and Over 3.5 at 22% (Under 78%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is most likely: the home side have been level at the break in 67% of matches, the away side in 50%, and the average goals by half-time are low (0.33 for the home team versus 0.25 for the away team), suggesting frequent goalless or low-scoring first halves. Forge has a clear advantage after the break and in form — in the last 5 matches the home side won 80% of fixtures and score on average 1.2 goals after half-time, while Vancouver have only a 40% win rate in their last 5 and concede on average 1.0 goals in the second half. Second-half statistics confirm the trend: 100% of the home team’s matches featured at least one goal after the break, and 75% of the away team’s did, so decisive action usually occurs after the 45th minute. Although Vancouver have a slightly higher xG (1.66 vs 1.54), the last 5 matches favour Forge (an average 2.4 points in the last 5 and 0.6 goals conceded in that period), therefore the strongest signal is HT/FT: draw at the break and a home win after 90 minutes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forge FC | Vancouver FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forge FC is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Forge FC · 1.4 pts / match - Vancouver FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forge FC is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Forge FC · 0.9 goals / match - Vancouver FC
Forge FC is 175% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.4 goals / match - Forge FC · 1.1 goals / match - Vancouver FC
Forge FC scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Vancouver FC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).
Vancouver FC scores in 50% of matches (5 of 10 matches), while Forge FC keeps a clean sheet in 70% (7 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forge FC
Over / Under - Vancouver FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forge FC is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Forge FC · 1.2 pts / match - Vancouver FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forge FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vancouver FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forge FC
Vancouver FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Forge FC | Liga | Vancouver FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.90 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 48% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 70% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 30% | 53% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 88% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Forge FC 4 - 1 - 0 Vancouver FC. Average goals 1.80, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Forge FC vs Vancouver FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Forge FC 3:2 Vancouver FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Forge FC and Vancouver FC?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Forge FC won 4, Vancouver FC won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Forge FC vs Vancouver FC?
Forge FC score 1.50 goals per game on average and Vancouver FC 0.90. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Forge FC's matches and 50% of Vancouver FC's.
What form are Forge FC and Vancouver FC in?
Over the last 5 games Forge FC have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Vancouver FC 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forge FC vs Vancouver FC?
The statistical background for Forge FC vs Vancouver FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.