Forlì vs Livorno: match statistics
Forlì vs Livorno: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forlì played Livorno in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Tullo Morgagni. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Forlì: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Livorno: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forlì scores 1.63 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Livorno scores 1.25 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forlì 75%, Livorno 50%. Over 2.5: Forlì 38%, Livorno 38%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Forlì has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.47. Forlì: 12.9 shots per match, Livorno: 12.0.
Match halves
Forlì: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.88. Livorno: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Forlì: 76-90+ (5 goals). Livorno: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Forlì have a clear home advantage: they have won 2 of their 3 matches and scored an average of 3 goals, while Livorno are yet to win away and have managed just 0.33 goals per game. The hosts also create more danger, averaging 1.93 xG and 5.33 shots on target at home, compared with Livorno’s 1.30 xG and 3.33 shots on target away. Livorno have failed to score in 67% of their away matches, limiting their chances despite Forlì conceding an average of 1.67 goals at home and failing to keep a clean sheet there. The hosts have recorded just one win and three draws in their last five matches, so a draw remains a realistic outcome. However, Forlì’s attacking edge and Livorno’s lack of away wins point to the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring is Livorno’s away record: an average of 0.33 goals scored, with no goal in 67% of such matches. Forlì average 1.8 goals at home, so a goal from the hosts looks more likely than one from the visitors. Caution is warranted, however, as Livorno have averaged 1.4 goals across their last five matches, with both teams scoring in 60% of those games. Forlì have also seen both teams score in 80% of their last five matches, but this signal is somewhat weakened by Livorno’s low away shot-conversion rate of 3%. Therefore, the slight edge goes to the scenario in which at least one team fails to score (BTTS - No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been breached in Livorno’s matches, while it has been exceeded in 40% of Forlì’s games. The home side average 1.8 goals at home, but the visitors concede an average of 1.0 away from home, limiting expectations for Forlì’s score. Livorno score just 0.33 goals per game away, although their average of 1.4 goals over the last five matches suggests their scoring potential should not be ruled out. Both teams’ attacking output also points to caution: their average xG figures are 1.58 and 1.30, respectively, while the projected total of 2.5 goals remains well below the selected line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Forlì were level at the break in 3 of their 5 home matches, while Livorno were level at half-time in 2 of their 3 away games. The visitors have yet to concede in the first half away from home, which limits the chances of the hosts taking an early lead. After the break, the advantage shifts towards Forlì, who average 1.0 goals in that half at home, while Livorno concede an average of 1.0 goals away and have yet to score in any second half. The case for a home win is also supported by Forlì’s 4 wins in 5 home matches, compared with Livorno’s lack of an away win in 3 games. The sample is small, and 2 of Livorno’s 3 away games ended in a draw, so a full-time draw remains a significant alternative to the X/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forlì | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Livorno is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Forlì · 1.4 pts / match - Livorno
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forlì is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Forlì · 1.25 goals / match - Livorno
Livorno is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Forlì · 1.13 goals / match - Livorno
Forlì scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Livorno scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forlì
Over / Under - Livorno
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Livorno is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Forlì · 1.38 pts / match - Livorno
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Livorno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forlì
Livorno
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Forlì | Liga | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.52 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 46% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Forlì 1 - 1 - 0 Livorno. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Forlì vs Livorno?
The Serie C Group B match finished Forlì 1:1 Livorno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Forlì and Livorno?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Forlì won 1, Livorno won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Forlì vs Livorno?
Forlì score 1.63 goals per game on average and Livorno 1.25. The Serie C Group B average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Forlì's matches and 50% of Livorno's.
What form are Forlì and Livorno in?
Over the last 5 games Forlì have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Livorno 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forlì vs Livorno?
The statistical background for Forlì vs Livorno — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.