Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas: match statistics
Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fortaleza CEIF played Once Caldas in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 2 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Fortaleza CEIF: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Once Caldas: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.08 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Once Caldas scores 1.62 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fortaleza CEIF 68%, Once Caldas 77%. Over 2.5: Fortaleza CEIF 44%, Once Caldas 46%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Once Caldas has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.24. Fortaleza CEIF: 11.6 shots per match, Once Caldas: 14.8.
Match halves
Fortaleza CEIF: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.64. Once Caldas: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Fortaleza CEIF: 76-90+ (10 goals). Once Caldas: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fortaleza CEIF win 46% of their home matches and lose 23%, while averaging 57% possession and creating chances worth 1.49 xG per game. Once Caldas lose just 8% of their away matches, but as many as 77% end in draws, strongly reinforcing the likelihood of a share of the points. Both teams average 1.31 goals at their respective venues, while Fortaleza are slightly more solid defensively, conceding 0.92 goals per match compared with the visitors’ 1.15. Recent form offers no clear advantage: the hosts have scored 4 goals and collected 5 points in their last five matches, while the visitors have scored 7 goals and taken 6 points, with both teams conceding exactly 5 goals. Fortaleza have the home advantage, but Once Caldas’ consistent draw record and similar chance-quality metrics—1.49 xG to 1.44—point primarily to a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal profiles strongly support goals at both ends: BTTS occurred in 69% of Fortaleza’s matches and as many as 85% of Once Caldas’ games, compared with a league average of 52%. Fortaleza average 1.92 goals per match, while Once Caldas average 1.31, with both teams also recording a low clean-sheet rate of just 15%. Their attacking potential is backed by xG figures of 1.81 for the hosts and 1.44 for the visitors, while Fortaleza average 6.31 shots on target compared with Once Caldas’ 4.85. The main warning sign is the hosts’ weaker recent finishing, having scored only 4 goals in their last five matches, with their BTTS rate falling to 40%; however, their opponents posted xG of 1.87 and scored an average of 1.4 goals during this period. With both defences conceding 1.0 goal per game recently, the more likely scenario remains that each team will find the net—BTTS - Yes / Goal-Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The season profiles of both teams point to goals, but not to a very open game: Fortaleza’s matches finished with fewer than 3.5 goals in 69% of cases, compared with 77% for Once Caldas. In their last five matches, Fortaleza scored only 0.8 goals per game and conceded 1.0, while Once Caldas averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Overall, both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in just 40% of their last five appearances, which reduces the weight of the higher season averages. At the same time, the hosts recently created chances worth 1.29 xG, while the visitors recorded 1.87 xG, making the 1.5-goal line remain relatively realistic. However, the strongest signal is for Under 3.5, as neither team is averaging more than 1.4 goals scored in their current form, and historically, four-goal games have been clearly rare for both sides.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most logical scenario, as Once Caldas were level after 45 minutes in 9 of 13 matches, or 69%, compared with 46% for Fortaleza. Both teams tend to play cautiously in the first half: the hosts average 0.92 goals before the break, while the visitors average just 0.46, and both concede 0.46 goals on average. Over their last five matches, the average number of first-half goals was only 1.0 for Fortaleza and 0.6 for Once Caldas, further supporting an even start. The full-time draw remains the most likely outcome, as the visitors finished 77% of their matches level, despite Fortaleza having the better full-season points return, 1.85 versus 1.23. The hosts have held the attacking advantage over the season, averaging 1.92 goals and 1.81 xG compared with their opponents’ 1.31 goals and 1.44 xG, but their recent average of just 0.8 goals scored limits the chances of a clear outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fortaleza CEIF | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Once Caldas is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.2 pts / match - Once Caldas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Once Caldas is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.62 goals / match - Once Caldas
Once Caldas is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.19 goals / match - Once Caldas
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Once Caldas scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fortaleza CEIF
Over / Under - Once Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Once Caldas is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.38 pts / match - Once Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Once Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fortaleza CEIF
Once Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Fortaleza CEIF | Liga | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.50 | ▲ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 53% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 46% | • 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 66% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Fortaleza CEIF 1 - 0 - 2 Once Caldas. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Fortaleza CEIF 1:2 Once Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fortaleza CEIF and Once Caldas?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Fortaleza CEIF won 1, Once Caldas won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas?
Fortaleza CEIF score 1.08 goals per game on average and Once Caldas 1.62. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Fortaleza CEIF's matches and 77% of Once Caldas's.
What form are Fortaleza CEIF and Once Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Fortaleza CEIF have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Once Caldas 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.