Brazil - Serie BEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo CasteloData current as of 23 September 2026

Fortaleza vs Athletic Club: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Fortaleza vs Athletic Club: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Fortaleza play Athletic Club in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 27 September 2026. Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo.

Current form

Fortaleza: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Athletic Club: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Fortaleza scores 1.14 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Athletic Club scores 1.17 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fortaleza 41%, Athletic Club 55%. Over 2.5: Fortaleza 34%, Athletic Club 34%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Fortaleza has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.22. Fortaleza: 14.2 shots per match, Athletic Club: 11.4.

Match halves

Fortaleza: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.62. Athletic Club: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.66.

Goals by minute

Fortaleza: 76-90+ (11 goals). Athletic Club: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.61)
(3.58)
(5.57)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

FortalezaAthletic Club
1.14Goals scored / match1.17
FortalezaAthletic Club
0.83Goals conceded / match1.07
FortalezaAthletic Club
49%Average possession44%
FortalezaAthletic Club
4.07Shots on target / match3.34
FortalezaAthletic Club

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.21Shots per match11.41
FortalezaAthletic Club
4.07Shots on target3.34
FortalezaAthletic Club
8%Shot conversion10.3%
FortalezaAthletic Club
49%Possession44%
FortalezaAthletic Club
1.49xG for1.22
FortalezaAthletic Club
1.44xG against1.66
FortalezaAthletic Club

Shooting quality

Fortaleza: AttackingAthletic Club: Balanced
FortalezaAthletic Club
Accuracy (shots on target)29%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fortaleza is 57% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Fortaleza · 1.4 pts / match - Athletic Club

Fortaleza
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
48% W31% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-9-6
1.76 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-4-1
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
WDDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Athletic Club
LWLWD
Season result split
34% W38% D28% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-11-8
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-6-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fortaleza is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.83 goals / match - Fortaleza · 1.07 goals / match - Athletic Club

Fortaleza scoring profile: strong

Fortaleza scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Athletic Club keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).

Athletic Club scoring profile: strong

Athletic Club scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 matches).

33Goals scored (season)34
FortalezaAthletic Club
24Goals conceded (season)31
FortalezaAthletic Club
1.97Average goals in match2.24
FortalezaAthletic Club
6Goals scored (last 5)9
FortalezaAthletic Club
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
FortalezaAthletic Club

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal72%
FortalezaAthletic Club
28%2 goals28%
FortalezaAthletic Club
10%3 goals10%
FortalezaAthletic Club
3%4 goals3%
FortalezaAthletic Club

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal72%
FortalezaAthletic Club
17%2 goals24%
FortalezaAthletic Club
7%3 goals7%
FortalezaAthletic Club
3%4 goals3%
FortalezaAthletic Club

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time14%
FortalezaAthletic Club
3%BTTS in both halves0%
FortalezaAthletic Club
17%Scored in both halves17%
FortalezaAthletic Club

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
FortalezaAthletic Club
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
FortalezaAthletic Club
60%BTTS - last 540%
FortalezaAthletic Club

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
FortalezaAthletic Club
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
FortalezaAthletic Club
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
FortalezaAthletic Club

2nd half

66%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
FortalezaAthletic Club
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
FortalezaAthletic Club
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
FortalezaAthletic Club

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fortaleza is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / match - Fortaleza · 1.41 pts / match - Athletic Club

Fortaleza - half-time state
38% leading38% draw24% trailing
Athletic Club - half-time state
31% leading48% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per match (1st half)1.41
FortalezaAthletic Club
0.52Goals scored (1st half)0.52
FortalezaAthletic Club
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
FortalezaAthletic Club
1Average goals (1st half)0.9
FortalezaAthletic Club
66%Clean sheet before half-time66%
FortalezaAthletic Club
55%No goal before half-time59%
FortalezaAthletic Club

After half-time (2nd half)

1.48Points per match (2nd half)1.31
FortalezaAthletic Club
0.62Goals scored (2nd half)0.66
FortalezaAthletic Club
0.34Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
FortalezaAthletic Club
0.97Average goals (2nd half)1.34
FortalezaAthletic Club
69%Clean sheet after half-time48%
FortalezaAthletic Club
55%No goal after half-time52%
FortalezaAthletic Club

Fortaleza - second-half results

34% W45% D21% L
44
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Athletic Club - second-half results

34% W28% D38% L
41
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fortaleza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Athletic Club - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fortaleza
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
6
2
16-30
7
8
31-45
5
5
46-60
2
3
61-75
11
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Athletic Club
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
4
5
16-30
6
5
31-45
4
5
46-60
8
7
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-52%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fortaleza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.61
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Athletic Club

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

FortalezaLigaAthletic Club
Average goals in match 1.972.34 2.24
Both teams scored 41%48% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 34%43% 34%
Clean sheets 45%30% 28%
Goal before half-time 69%67% 62%
Goal after half-time 66%75% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Fortaleza 0 - 0 - 1 Athletic Club. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Fortaleza and Athletic Club play?

Fortaleza face Athletic Club on 27 September 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Fortaleza vs Athletic Club?

Fortaleza score 1.14 goals per game on average and Athletic Club 1.17. The Serie B average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Fortaleza's matches and 55% of Athletic Club's.

What form are Fortaleza and Athletic Club in?

Over the last 5 games Fortaleza have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Athletic Club 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortaleza vs Athletic Club?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.