Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax: match statistics
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fortuna Sittard played Ajax in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Fortuna Sittard Stadion. Final score: 1:5.
Current form
Fortuna Sittard: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Ajax: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fortuna Sittard scores 2.20 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Ajax scores 2.25 and concedes 1.25. League average: 3.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fortuna Sittard 80%, Ajax 50%. Over 2.5: Fortuna Sittard 80%, Ajax 75%. League level: BTTS 77%, Over 2.5 79%.
xG, shots and style
Ajax has higher xG: 2.11 vs 1.11. Fortuna Sittard: 9.2 shots per match, Ajax: 20.0.
Match halves
Fortuna Sittard: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 0.80. Ajax: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Fortuna Sittard: 0-15 (3 goals). Ajax: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.89 goals per match, BTTS 77%, Over 2.5 79%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ajax have extremely strong away numbers: they have won both matches so far, averaging 3.0 goals scored and conceding none. The visitors create significantly more chances, averaging 19 shots and 7.5 on target per match, with an xG of 2.17 compared to Fortuna Sittard’s 1.20 at home. Fortuna score 1.5 goals per home game but have failed to keep a clean sheet, while their average xG conceded is as high as 2.81. In addition, the hosts average just 32% possession, whereas Ajax control the ball for an average of 64% of the time away from home. Both teams have won 3 of their last 5 matches, but Ajax’s clear edge in chance creation, defensive solidity and away form strongly supports an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is clear: Fortuna had BTTS in 100% of its matches this season, while in their last five games, both Fortuna and Ajax recorded this outcome in 80% of cases. In their last five matches, the hosts scored an average of 2.2 goals and conceded 1.8, whereas Ajax scored as many as 3.2 goals but allowed opponents 2.0 goals per game. Ajax should create plenty of chances, as its average xG is 2.26, while Fortuna allows opponents 2.35 xG and concedes an average of 2.5 goals in the competition. Fortuna's recent xG is lower, at 1.11, but it averages 5.0 shots on target per match and will face a team that has conceded 10 goals in its last five outings. The only significant argument against this pick is Ajax's 100% clean-sheet record so far this season; however, current defensive performances and the league's high BTTS rate of 78% provide stronger support for the "BTTS - Yes" option.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Ajax have exceptional attacking potential: they average 3.0 goals per game and 3.2 across their last five matches, with an average xG of 2.26. Fortuna have conceded an average of 2.5 goals, while their xG conceded over the last five matches stood at a high 2.35, supporting the expectation of at least two goals for the visitors. At the same time, Fortuna have scored 11 goals in their last five appearances, while Ajax have conceded 10 during that period, giving the hosts a realistic route to finding the net as well. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 100% of the teams’ matches so far, and the league average of 4.05 goals further strengthens Over 1.5 as the safest line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In their last five matches, Fortuna were leading at the break in 80% of games, scoring an average of 1.4 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.4. Ajax also averaged 1.4 goals before the break, but conceded as many as 1.2 during that period and went into half-time behind in 40% of matches. After the interval, the visitors’ advantage increases significantly: Ajax score an average of 1.8 goals, while Fortuna concede 1.4, and Ajax’s second-half goal difference stands at +5. In the season data, Ajax won 100% of their matches, scored an average of 3.0 goals and conceded none, with an xG of 2.17 compared to Fortuna’s 2.06. The most likely scenario is therefore that the hosts will capitalise on their strong start, but Ajax will complete a turnaround thanks to a significantly stronger second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fortuna Sittard | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 54% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fortuna Sittard is 14% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard · 1.75 pts / match - Ajax
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ajax is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard · 1.25 goals / match - Ajax
Fortuna Sittard scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Ajax scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Fortuna Sittard keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fortuna Sittard
Over / Under - Ajax
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fortuna Sittard is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.6 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard · 1.75 pts / match - Ajax
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fortuna Sittard - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 60%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ajax - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Fortuna Sittard | Liga | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 3.89 | ▼ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 80% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 12% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 80% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 96% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Fortuna Sittard 0 - 0 - 2 Ajax. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
The Eredivisie match finished Fortuna Sittard 1:5 Ajax. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fortuna Sittard and Ajax?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 0, Ajax won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
Fortuna Sittard score 2.20 goals per game on average and Ajax 2.25. The Eredivisie average is 3.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 79% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Fortuna Sittard's matches and 50% of Ajax's.
What form are Fortuna Sittard and Ajax in?
Over the last 5 games Fortuna Sittard have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Ajax 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.