Netherlands - EredivisieFortuna Sittard StadionData current as of 21 October 2026

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Fortuna Sittard play Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Fortuna Sittard Stadion.

Current form

Fortuna Sittard: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Excelsior: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Fortuna Sittard scores 1.78 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. Excelsior scores 1.78 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.84 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fortuna Sittard 78%, Excelsior 67%. Over 2.5: Fortuna Sittard 67%, Excelsior 100%. League level: BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 75%.

xG, shots and style

Excelsior has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.14. Fortuna Sittard: 10.1 shots per match, Excelsior: 11.2.

Match halves

Fortuna Sittard: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.78. Excelsior: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Fortuna Sittard: 0-15 (4 goals). Excelsior: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.84 goals per match, BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 75%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.71)
(3.82)
(2.44)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Fortuna SittardExcelsior
1.78Goals scored / match1.78
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
1.89Goals conceded / match2
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
35%Average possession43%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
4.44Shots on target / match4
Fortuna SittardExcelsior

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.11Shots per match11.22
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
4.44Shots on target4
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
17.6%Shot conversion15.8%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
35%Possession43%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
1.14xG for1.26
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
2.3xG against1.69
Fortuna SittardExcelsior

Shooting quality

Fortuna Sittard: Counter-attackingExcelsior: Counter-attacking
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
Accuracy (shots on target)44%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fortuna Sittard is 300% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard · 0.4 pts / match - Excelsior

Fortuna Sittard
WLWDD
Season result split
44% W33% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 at home
1-1-2
WLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 2.06BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Excelsior
DLDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W22% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-4
1.22 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fortuna Sittard is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.89 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard · 2 goals / match - Excelsior

Fortuna Sittard scoring profile: very strong

Fortuna Sittard scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

Excelsior scoring profile: very strong

Excelsior scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Fortuna Sittard keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).

16Goals scored (season)16
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
17Goals conceded (season)18
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
3.67Average goals in match3.78
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
8Goals scored (last 5)6
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
10Goals conceded (last 5)15
Fortuna SittardExcelsior

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal89%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
56%2 goals56%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
33%3 goals22%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
0%4 goals11%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal78%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
67%2 goals67%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
11%3 goals22%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
11%4 goals22%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

72%
League average

Goal patterns

44%BTTS at half-time33%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
22%BTTS in both halves22%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
56%Scored in both halves56%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
80%BTTS - last 580%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
56%Min. 2 goals before half-time56%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time78%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fortuna Sittard is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.78 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard · 1.22 pts / match - Excelsior

Fortuna Sittard - half-time state
44% leading44% draw11% trailing
Excelsior - half-time state
33% leading22% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.78Points per match (1st half)1.22
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
1Goals scored (1st half)1
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
1.56Average goals (1st half)1.78
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
44%Clean sheet before half-time33%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
33%No goal before half-time33%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.22
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
1.33Goals conceded (2nd half)1.22
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
2.11Average goals (2nd half)2
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
33%Clean sheet after half-time22%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
22%No goal after half-time22%
Fortuna SittardExcelsior

Fortuna Sittard - second-half results

22% W33% D44% L
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Excelsior - second-half results

22% W56% D22% L
11
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fortuna Sittard - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Excelsior - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.60
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match1.21.8
Average goals in match1.82.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet0%0%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-3-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fortuna Sittard
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Excelsior
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
0
16-30
6
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.73
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-46%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
79%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fortuna Sittard

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Excelsior

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

Fortuna SittardLigaExcelsior
Average goals in match▼ 3.673.84• 3.78
Both teams scored▲ 78%72%▼ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 67%75%▲ 100%
Clean sheets▼ 11%15%▲ 22%
Goal before half-time▼ 78%83%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time• 89%90%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.84
Average goals per match
72%
Both teams scored
75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
15%
Clean sheets
1.80
Home goals / match
2.04
Away goals / match
+-12%
Home attack advantage
+-13%
Home defence advantage
+-8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
90%
1 goal
68%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
20%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Fortuna Sittard 1 - 0 - 1 Excelsior. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Fortuna Sittard
2 : 1
SBV Excelsior
SBV Excelsior
1 : 0
Fortuna Sittard

FAQ

When do Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior play?

Fortuna Sittard face Excelsior on 25 October 2026 in Eredivisie at Fortuna Sittard Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 1, Excelsior won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?

Fortuna Sittard score 1.78 goals per game on average and Excelsior 1.78. The Eredivisie average is 3.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 75% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Fortuna Sittard's matches and 67% of Excelsior's.

What form are Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior in?

Over the last 5 games Fortuna Sittard have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Excelsior 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?

The statistical background for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.