United States - USL League OneData current as of 08 August 2026

Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Forward Madison play Greenville Triumph in USL League One (United States). The match date is 13 August 2026.

Current form

Forward Madison: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Greenville Triumph: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Forward Madison scores 2.12 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Greenville Triumph scores 1.18 and concedes 1.76. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Forward Madison 53%, Greenville Triumph 41%. Over 2.5: Forward Madison 59%, Greenville Triumph 59%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

xG is very similar for both teams. Forward Madison: 13.3 shots per match, Greenville Triumph: 13.5.

Match halves

Forward Madison: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 0.88. Greenville Triumph: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.41.

Goals by minute

Forward Madison: 16-30 (10 goals). Greenville Triumph: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL League One: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
2.12Goals scored / match1.18
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
1Goals conceded / match1.76
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
49%Average possession48%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
4.94Shots on target / match4.59
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.29Shots per match13.47
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
4.94Shots on target4.59
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
15.9%Shot conversion8.7%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
49%Possession48%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
1.57xG for1.57
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
1.36xG against1.42
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

Shooting quality

Forward Madison: Efficient finishingGreenville Triumph: Balanced
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
Accuracy (shots on target)37%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Forward Madison is 200% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Forward Madison · 1 pts / match - Greenville Triumph

Forward Madison
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
65% W12% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-2-4
2.06 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-1-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Greenville Triumph
DLLWD
Season result split
29% W18% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-9
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-6
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.94Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forward Madison is 80% better for: goals scored per match.

2.12 goals / match - Forward Madison · 1.18 goals / match - Greenville Triumph

Forward Madison is 76% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Forward Madison · 1.76 goals / match - Greenville Triumph

Forward Madison scoring profile: very strong

Forward Madison scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Greenville Triumph keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).

Greenville Triumph scoring profile: mixed

Greenville Triumph scores in 53% of matches (9 of 17 matches), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).

36Goals scored (season)20
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
17Goals conceded (season)30
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
3.12Average goals in match2.94
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
15Goals scored (last 5)6
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
3Goals conceded (last 5)9
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal53%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
59%2 goals29%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
41%3 goals29%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
18%4 goals6%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal82%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
24%2 goals65%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
6%3 goals24%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
0%4 goals6%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

41%
Greenville Triumph - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 17 matches
55%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time18%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
0%BTTS in both halves6%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
47%Scored in both halves24%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS24%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
40%BTTS - last 540%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

94%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
53%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forward Madison is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.24 pts / match - Forward Madison · 1.18 pts / match - Greenville Triumph

Forward Madison - half-time state
71% leading12% draw18% trailing
Greenville Triumph - half-time state
24% leading47% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.24Points per match (1st half)1.18
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
1.24Goals scored (1st half)0.59
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
1.76Average goals (1st half)1.29
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
65%Clean sheet before half-time53%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
18%No goal before half-time59%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

After half-time (2nd half)

1.59Points per match (2nd half)0.88
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.41
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
1.35Average goals (2nd half)1.29
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
59%Clean sheet after half-time41%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
53%No goal after half-time71%
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph

Forward Madison - second-half results

41% W35% R24% P
38
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding92%

Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 65%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Greenville Triumph - second-half results

18% W35% R47% P
20
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Forward Madison - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.002.60
Goals scored / match1.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match2.01.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+6+6
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8
Greenville Triumph - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.2
Average goals in match1.40.4
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Forward Madison
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
10
5
16-30
8
1
31-45
2
4
46-60
8
0
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Greenville Triumph
ScoredConceded
7
7
0-15
2
3
16-30
4
5
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
4
61-75
0
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.03
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Forward Madison

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.91
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.94
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Greenville Triumph

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 35% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).

Teams vs league

Forward MadisonLigaGreenville Triumph
Average goals in match 3.122.88 2.94
Both teams scored 53%55% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%60% 59%
Clean sheets 29%26% 18%
Goal before half-time 94%70% 71%
Goal after half-time 71%78% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+63%
Home attack advantage
+39%
Home defence advantage
+34%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Forward Madison 1 - 0 - 2 Greenville Triumph. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Greenville Triumph
1 : 0
Forward Madison
Greenville Triumph SC
3 : 0
Forward Madison FC
Forward Madison FC
3 : 1
Greenville Triumph SC

FAQ

When do Forward Madison and Greenville Triumph play?

Forward Madison face Greenville Triumph on 13 August 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Forward Madison and Greenville Triumph?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Forward Madison won 1, Greenville Triumph won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?

Forward Madison score 2.12 goals per game on average and Greenville Triumph 1.18. The USL League One average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Forward Madison's matches and 41% of Greenville Triumph's.

What form are Forward Madison and Greenville Triumph in?

Over the last 5 games Forward Madison have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Greenville Triumph 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?

The statistical background for Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.