Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine: match statistics
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Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forward Madison play Portland Hearts of Pine in USL League One (United States). The match date is 17 October 2026.
Current form
Forward Madison: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Portland Hearts of Pine: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forward Madison scores 1.73 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Portland Hearts of Pine scores 1.47 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forward Madison 57%, Portland Hearts of Pine 80%. Over 2.5: Forward Madison 50%, Portland Hearts of Pine 67%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Forward Madison has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.41. Forward Madison: 14.0 shots per match, Portland Hearts of Pine: 11.7.
Match halves
Forward Madison: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.90. Portland Hearts of Pine: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Forward Madison: 16-30 (12 goals). Portland Hearts of Pine: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forward Madison | Portland Hearts of Pine | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Portland Hearts of Pine is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Forward Madison · 1 pts / match - Portland Hearts of Pine
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forward Madison is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Forward Madison · 1.47 goals / match - Portland Hearts of Pine
Forward Madison is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Forward Madison · 1.83 goals / match - Portland Hearts of Pine
Forward Madison scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Portland Hearts of Pine keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 30 matches).
Portland Hearts of Pine scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forward Madison
Over / Under - Portland Hearts of Pine
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forward Madison is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - Forward Madison · 1.07 pts / match - Portland Hearts of Pine
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forward Madison - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Portland Hearts of Pine - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forward Madison
Portland Hearts of Pine
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Forward Madison | Liga | Portland Hearts of Pine | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.73 | 2.99 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 60% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 23% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Forward Madison 2 - 1 - 0 Portland Hearts of Pine. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Forward Madison and Portland Hearts of Pine play?
Forward Madison face Portland Hearts of Pine on 17 October 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Forward Madison and Portland Hearts of Pine?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Forward Madison won 2, Portland Hearts of Pine won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Forward Madison score 1.73 goals per game on average and Portland Hearts of Pine 1.47. The USL League One average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Forward Madison's matches and 80% of Portland Hearts of Pine's.
What form are Forward Madison and Portland Hearts of Pine in?
Over the last 5 games Forward Madison have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Portland Hearts of Pine 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.