Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity: match statistics
Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forward Madison played Spokane Velocity in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 30 October 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Forward Madison: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Spokane Velocity: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forward Madison scores 1.69 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Spokane Velocity scores 1.56 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forward Madison 53%, Spokane Velocity 53%. Over 2.5: Forward Madison 47%, Spokane Velocity 59%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Forward Madison has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.46. Forward Madison: 14.3 shots per match, Spokane Velocity: 12.2.
Match halves
Forward Madison: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.84. Spokane Velocity: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Forward Madison: 16-30 (12 goals). Spokane Velocity: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-3. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Forward Madison are clear favorites at home: they have won 56% of their home matches and lost just 6%, while Spokane Velocity have been beaten in 44% of their away games. The hosts average 2.19 goals at home, with an xG of 2.04, while the visitors concede 1.5 goals per away match. Madison’s advantage is also evident defensively: they concede an average of 0.69 goals at home, compared with the 1.19 goals Spokane score on the road. The last five matches do add some uncertainty—Madison scored just 4 goals and won once, while Spokane scored 9 and won twice. Even so, the hosts’ home record and their higher-quality chances, reflected in an xG of 2.04 versus the visitors’ away xG of 1.48, point to a Madison win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 20% of Forward Madison’s games and 40% of Spokane Velocity’s, supporting a scenario in which at least one side fails to score. The hosts conceded an average of just 0.8 goals over this period, while the visitors failed to score in 31% of their matches this season. However, the signal is not strong: the hosts’ season-long BTTS rate is 63%, and Spokane have recently averaged 1.8 goals scored. In addition, Forward Madison recorded an xG of 1.88 across their last 5 matches despite scoring an average of just 0.8 goals, so improved finishing could reverse the forecast. Nevertheless, the low recent BTTS rates and the hosts’ solid defensive record give a slight edge to BTTS - No, meaning at least one team is expected not to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Forward Madison average 1.94 goals scored in home matches, while Spokane Velocity concede an average of 1.50 goals away from home, giving the hosts a solid platform to find the net. Matches involving both teams went Over 1.5 goals in 75% and 69% of cases, respectively. However, caution is warranted with higher goal lines: in their last five matches, Forward Madison scored and conceded 0.8 goals per game, and Over 2.5 goals landed in just 20% of those matches. Spokane averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over the same period, so they could also contribute to the scoreline. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is a stronger pick than Over 2.5, despite the projected total of 2.67 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw followed by a Forward Madison win is the most likely outcome, although this scenario has only a narrow edge over the hosts leading at the break. Madison were level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches and failed to score before the break in 4 of them, pointing to a closely contested start. Over the season, the hosts have won 69% of their matches, compared with 31% for Spokane, averaging 1.94 and 1.19 goals scored per game, respectively. After the break, Madison have averaged 1.06 goals, while Spokane have conceded 0.75, so I give the hosts the best chance of deciding the match in the second half. However, this is not a confident pick: Spokane have averaged 1.4 goals after half-time in their last 5 matches, compared with just 0.4 for Madison, increasing the risk of a result in the visitors’ favour.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forward Madison | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Spokane Velocity is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Forward Madison · 1.4 pts / match - Spokane Velocity
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forward Madison is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - Forward Madison · 1.56 goals / match - Spokane Velocity
Forward Madison is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Forward Madison · 1.38 goals / match - Spokane Velocity
Forward Madison scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Spokane Velocity keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
Spokane Velocity scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forward Madison
Over / Under - Spokane Velocity
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forward Madison is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Forward Madison · 1.38 pts / match - Spokane Velocity
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forward Madison - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Spokane Velocity - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forward Madison
Spokane Velocity
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Forward Madison | Liga | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.63 | 2.99 | • 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 60% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 60% | • 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 23% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 81% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Forward Madison 1 - 0 - 3 Spokane Velocity. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity?
The USL League One match finished Forward Madison 2:1 Spokane Velocity. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Forward Madison and Spokane Velocity?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Forward Madison won 1, Spokane Velocity won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity?
Forward Madison score 1.69 goals per game on average and Spokane Velocity 1.56. The USL League One average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Forward Madison's matches and 53% of Spokane Velocity's.
What form are Forward Madison and Spokane Velocity in?
Over the last 5 games Forward Madison have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Spokane Velocity 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity?
The statistical background for Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.