Freiburg vs Werder Bremen: match statistics
Freiburg displays significantly better home form with 56% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference of +7 in home matches. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per game at home while conceding only 1.22, confirming their offensive and defensive solidity. Werder Bremen is in disastrous away form with only 10% of wins, conceding an average of 2 goals per match on the road and recording a negative goal difference of -10. Werder's last 5 away matches are a series of defeats and draws, failing to score in 50% of those games. The xG statistics also speak in favor of Freiburg (1.67 vs 1.18), indicating a clear qualitative advantage for the hosts. Taking all these factors into account, a Freiburg victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Freiburg played Werder Bremen in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Freiburg: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Werder Bremen: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Freiburg scores 1.55 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Werder Bremen scores 1.10 and concedes 1.90. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Freiburg 65%, Werder Bremen 45%. Over 2.5: Freiburg 65%, Werder Bremen 55%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Werder Bremen has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.42. Freiburg: 12.8 shots per match, Werder Bremen: 13.2.
Match halves
Freiburg: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.95. Werder Bremen: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Freiburg: 76-90+ (8 goals). Werder Bremen: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Freiburg displays significantly better home form with 56% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference of +7 in home matches. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per game at home while conceding only 1.22, confirming their offensive and defensive solidity. Werder Bremen is in disastrous away form with only 10% of wins, conceding an average of 2 goals per match on the road and recording a negative goal difference of -10. Werder's last 5 away matches are a series of defeats and draws, failing to score in 50% of those games. The xG statistics also speak in favor of Freiburg (1.67 vs 1.18), indicating a clear qualitative advantage for the hosts. Taking all these factors into account, a Freiburg victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Freiburg | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Freiburg is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Freiburg · 0.4 pts / match - Werder Bremen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Freiburg is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Freiburg · 1.1 goals / match - Werder Bremen
Freiburg is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Freiburg · 1.9 goals / match - Werder Bremen
Freiburg scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Werder Bremen keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
Werder Bremen scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Freiburg keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Freiburg
Over / Under - Werder Bremen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Freiburg is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Freiburg · 0.9 pts / match - Werder Bremen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Freiburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Werder Bremen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Freiburg
Werder Bremen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Freiburg | Liga | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.20 | 3.19 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 82% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Freiburg 1 - 0 - 0 Werder Bremen. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
The Bundesliga match finished Freiburg 1:0 Werder Bremen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
Freiburg score 1.55 goals per game on average and Werder Bremen 1.10. The Bundesliga average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Freiburg's matches and 45% of Werder Bremen's.
What form are Freiburg and Werder Bremen in?
Over the last 5 games Freiburg have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Werder Bremen 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.