Fujieda MYFC vs Vanraure Hachinohe: match statistics

Fujieda MYFC have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals in that run, while Vanraure Hachinohe have managed just 3 goals and suffered 3 defeats. At home, the hosts have won both of their matches so far, averaging 2.5 goals scored and conceding just 0.5 per game. The visitors lost their only away match, failed to score and allowed their opponents as many as 5 goals, while their average away xG conceded stands at a high 2.69. Fujieda have been highly clinical at home, converting 26% of their shots into goals, whereas Hachinohe, despite averaging 12 attempts per away match, have yet to register a shot on target. The contrast between the hosts’ home record of +4 and the visitors’ away record of -5 clearly points towards a Fujieda win.

The strongest signal is Vanraure Hachinohe’s very low attacking reliability: the team has not yet averaged a goal per match, failed to score in 100% of its games, and recorded BTTS at 0%. In their last 5 matches, the visitors also scored just 0.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 0% of those fixtures. Fujieda MYFC kept a clean sheet in 67% of matches, further supporting the scenario in which the visitors fail to score. The hosts should nevertheless have opportunities to find the net, as Hachinohe’s defence allows an average of 2.69 xG and conceded 1.8 goals per match across their last five games. Although Fujieda’s recent form includes BTTS in 60% of matches, the stronger signals pointing to the visitors’ attacking inefficiency clearly support the BTTS - No pick. BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically imply a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.

Fujieda MYFC are in clearly better offensive form: they have averaged 2.6 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while Vanraure Hachinohe have conceded 1.8 goals per game during the same period. However, the visitors have scored only 3 goals in their last five appearances, averaging 0.6 per match, while the hosts have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their matches this season. The average xG over the last five matches stands at 1.00 for Fujieda and 1.05 for Hachinohe, suggesting that a high-scoring performance from the hosts does not necessarily imply an open game with numerous chances at both ends. The 3.5 line offers value on the under, as even with an expected total of 2.65 goals, at least four goals would be required, and the hosts have not exceeded this mark in any league match this season. The chance of at least two goals remains high, but Hachinohe's limited attacking efficiency reduces the probability of a very high-scoring game.

Fujieda MYFC have won 67% of their home matches to date, averaging 2.0 points per game, while Vanraure Hachinohe have lost every away fixture and have failed to collect a single point on the road. The hosts have scored an average of 1.0 goal per match, whereas the visitors have conceded as many as 5.0 goals per away game and have failed to score. The advantage is already evident before half-time: Hachinohe have been behind at the break in 100% of their away matches, conceding an average of 2.0 goals, while Fujieda have scored an average of 1.4 goals before half-time in their last five matches, compared with just 0.2 for the visitors. Recent form also favours the hosts, who have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 2.6 goals, while Hachinohe have lost 3 of their last 5 games and averaged just 0.6 goals. The most likely outcome in the HT/FT market is therefore Fujieda leading at the break and maintaining their winning advantage through to the final whistle (1/1).