Gagra vs Rustavi: match statistics
Gagra vs Rustavi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gagra played Rustavi in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match was played on 1 November 2026. Venue: Stadioni Mtskheta Parki. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Gagra: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Rustavi: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gagra scores 0.87 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Rustavi scores 1.20 and concedes 0.87. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gagra 53%, Rustavi 43%. Over 2.5: Gagra 43%, Rustavi 40%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Rustavi has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.31. Gagra: 10.0 shots per match, Rustavi: 10.4.
Match halves
Gagra: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.53. Rustavi: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Gagra: 76-90+ (7 goals). Rustavi: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rustavi sit 4th and have won 15 of their 30 matches, while eighth-placed Gagra have recorded 6 victories. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 7 goals in that run; the hosts have won just once, scoring 4. Rustavi’s biggest edge is their defensive record: they concede an average of 0.87 goals away from home and keep a clean sheet in 33% of matches, compared with Gagra conceding 1.27 goals per home game and keeping clean sheets in 20%. The gap in the quality of chances created is small — Gagra’s home xG is 1.49, while Rustavi’s away xG is 1.36 — so an away win is far from certain. A draw remains a significant possibility, as both teams have drawn 47% of their matches at home and away respectively. However, current form and a tighter defence favour Rustavi.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
It is slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score: this season, both teams scored in 33% of Gagra’s matches and 53% of Rustavi’s. Gagra kept a clean sheet in 47% of its matches, while Rustavi failed to score in 27%, which particularly limits the visitors’ chances of finding the net. On the other hand, both teams scored in 60% of each side’s last 5 matches, so the lean towards BTTS - No is slight. Average xG stands at 1.34 for Gagra and 1.36 for Rustavi, but the visitors score just 1.0 goals per match on average compared with the hosts’ 1.4, so the potential for both sides to score does not provide a strong enough signal for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest indicator is Under 3.5 goals: this total was recorded in 87% of Gagra's matches and 100% of Rustavi's. Both teams concede an average of 0.87 goals per game this season, while Rustavi have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their matches, limiting the potential for a high-scoring game. Gagra average 1.4 goals scored and Rustavi 1.0, putting the projected total at 2.30 goals. In their last five matches, the 2.5-goal line was exceeded in 60% of cases, making the lower line less certain. Despite this uptick in goalscoring form, the season-long frequency of matches finishing Under 3.5 goals supports this selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Gagra were level at the break in 47% of their matches, while Rustavi were level in 53%; the visitors concede an average of just 0.13 goals before half-time. Although the hosts have earned 2.0 points per match over the season compared with the visitors’ 1.47, the last five matches favor Rustavi: 1.8 points per match versus 1.0, and three wins versus one. The visitors’ advantage is particularly evident after the break, when they have scored an average of 0.8 goals compared with Gagra’s 0.2, while the hosts have conceded an average of 1.0 goal. Therefore, I’m backing a draw at half-time and a Rustavi win at full-time (X/2), although Gagra’s season-long strength makes this a pick with moderate confidence.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gagra | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rustavi is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Gagra · 1.8 pts / match - Rustavi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rustavi is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
0.87 goals / match - Gagra · 1.2 goals / match - Rustavi
Rustavi is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Gagra · 0.87 goals / match - Rustavi
Gagra scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while Rustavi keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
Rustavi scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Gagra keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gagra
Over / Under - Rustavi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rustavi is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / match - Gagra · 1.7 pts / match - Rustavi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gagra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rustavi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gagra
Rustavi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Gagra | Liga | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.30 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 53% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 69% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- GagraYellow cardVinicius César
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Gagra 1 - 1 - 1 Rustavi. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gagra vs Rustavi?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Gagra 2:2 Rustavi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gagra and Rustavi?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Gagra won 1, Rustavi won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gagra vs Rustavi?
Gagra score 0.87 goals per game on average and Rustavi 1.20. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Gagra's matches and 43% of Rustavi's.
What form are Gagra and Rustavi in?
Over the last 5 games Gagra have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Rustavi 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gagra vs Rustavi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gagra vs Rustavi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.