Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueStade Régional de NyamiramboData current as of 14 October 2026

Gasogi United vs Bugesera: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Gasogi United vs Bugesera: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gasogi United play Bugesera in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Stade Régional de Nyamirambo.

Current form

Gasogi United: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Bugesera: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gasogi United scores 0.67 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Bugesera scores 1.00 and concedes 0.50. League average: 1.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gasogi United 33%, Bugesera 0%. Over 2.5: Gasogi United 0%, Bugesera 0%. League level: BTTS 23%, Over 2.5 15%.

xG, shots and style

Gasogi United has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.20. Gasogi United: 9.7 shots per match, Bugesera: 8.0.

Match halves

Gasogi United: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Bugesera: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Gasogi United: 46-60 (2 goals). Bugesera: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.54 goals per match, BTTS 23%, Over 2.5 15%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0.67Goals scored / match1
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
1Goals conceded / match0.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
46%Average possession52%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
1.67Shots on target / match3.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.67Shots per match8
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
1.67Shots on target3.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
6.9%Shot conversion12.5%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
46%Possession52%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
1.71xG for1.2
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
1.3xG against1.58
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

Shooting quality

Gasogi United: BalancedBugesera: Balanced
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
Accuracy (shots on target)17%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bugesera is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.33 pts / match - Gasogi United · 1.5 pts / match - Bugesera

Gasogi United
LWD
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 at home
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.7Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 0%
Bugesera
LW
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bugesera is 49% better for: goals scored per match.

0.67 goals / match - Gasogi United · 1 goals / match - Bugesera

Bugesera is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Gasogi United · 0.5 goals / match - Bugesera

Gasogi United scoring profile: mixed

Gasogi United scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

Bugesera scoring profile: mixed

Bugesera scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Gasogi United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

2Goals scored (season)2
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
3Goals conceded (season)1
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
1.67Average goals in match1.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
2Goals scored (last 5)2
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
3Goals conceded (last 5)1
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%2 goals50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%3 goals0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%4 goals0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
33%2 goals0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%3 goals0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%4 goals0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

23%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%Scored in both halves50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
33%BTTS - last 50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bugesera is 355% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.33 pts / match - Gasogi United · 1.5 pts / match - Bugesera

Gasogi United - half-time state
0% leading33% draw67% trailing
Bugesera - half-time state
50% leading0% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.33Points per match (1st half)1.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0.67Average goals (1st half)1
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
33%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
100%No goal before half-time50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)2
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
1Average goals (2nd half)0.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
67%Clean sheet after half-time100%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
33%No goal after half-time50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

Gasogi United - second-half results

67% W0% D33% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.33
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bugesera - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gasogi United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.332.00
Goals scored / match0.00.7
Goals conceded / match0.70.3
Average goals in match0.71.0
1 goal67%100%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet33%67%
No goal100%33%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 33% draw - 67% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 0% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.502.00
Goals scored / match0.50.5
Goals conceded / match0.50.0
Average goals in match1.00.5
1 goal100%50%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%100%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 50% leading - 0% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gasogi United
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.6 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
17%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-68%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gasogi United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.74
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
161%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.88
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

Gasogi UnitedLigaBugesera
Average goals in match▲ 1.671.54• 1.50
Both teams scored▲ 33%23%▼ 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%15%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▼ 33%46%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 67%62%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%54%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.54
Average goals per match
23%
Both teams scored
15%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
46%
Clean sheets
0.92
Home goals / match
0.62
Away goals / match
+48%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
54%
1 goal
12%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Gasogi United 0 - 1 - 1 Bugesera. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Gasogi United
0 : 1
Bugesera
Bugesera
0 : 0
Gasogi United

FAQ

When do Gasogi United and Bugesera play?

Gasogi United face Bugesera on 18 October 2026 in National Soccer League at Stade Régional de Nyamirambo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Gasogi United and Bugesera?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Gasogi United won 0, Bugesera won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Gasogi United vs Bugesera?

Gasogi United score 0.67 goals per game on average and Bugesera 1.00. The National Soccer League average is 1.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 15% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Gasogi United's matches and 0% of Bugesera's.

What form are Gasogi United and Bugesera in?

Over the last 5 games Gasogi United have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Bugesera 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gasogi United vs Bugesera?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.