Gateshead vs Morecambe: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very even match between two teams from the bottom part of the table. Gateshead occupies 23rd place with a catastrophic home record (7% win rate at home, 79% losses), but recent form shows improvement with two victories in the last five matches overall. Morecambe, in 22nd position, presents slightly better away efficiency (13% wins, 25% draws) and a higher average of goals scored on the road (1.13 vs 0.79 for the hosts). Both teams have an identical average of goals conceded (around 2.25 per match) and similar goal differences (-21 Gateshead, -18 Morecambe). A key factor is that Morecambe fails to score less often on the road (38% FTS vs 50% for the hosts) and has better shot conversion (11% vs 6%). Given the poor form of both squads and the balanced statistics, the most likely result seems to be a draw or a minimal victory for the guests.
Gateshead vs Morecambe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gateshead played Morecambe in National League (England). The match was played on 25 February 2026. Final score: 4:4.
Current form
Gateshead: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Morecambe: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gateshead scores 1.13 and concedes 2.26 goals per match. Morecambe scores 1.27 and concedes 2.12. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gateshead 55%, Morecambe 55%. Over 2.5: Gateshead 74%, Morecambe 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Morecambe has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.38. Gateshead: 10.4 shots per match, Morecambe: 11.3.
Match halves
Gateshead: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.55. Morecambe: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Gateshead: 0-15 (9 goals). Morecambe: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very even match between two teams from the bottom part of the table. Gateshead occupies 23rd place with a catastrophic home record (7% win rate at home, 79% losses), but recent form shows improvement with two victories in the last five matches overall. Morecambe, in 22nd position, presents slightly better away efficiency (13% wins, 25% draws) and a higher average of goals scored on the road (1.13 vs 0.79 for the hosts). Both teams have an identical average of goals conceded (around 2.25 per match) and similar goal differences (-21 Gateshead, -18 Morecambe). A key factor is that Morecambe fails to score less often on the road (38% FTS vs 50% for the hosts) and has better shot conversion (11% vs 6%). Given the poor form of both squads and the balanced statistics, the most likely result seems to be a draw or a minimal victory for the guests.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gateshead | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gateshead is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Gateshead · 1 pts / match - Morecambe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Morecambe is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Gateshead · 1.27 goals / match - Morecambe
Morecambe is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.26 goals / match - Gateshead · 2.12 goals / match - Morecambe
Gateshead scores in 58% of matches (18 of 31 matches), while Morecambe keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 33 matches).
Morecambe scores in 67% of matches (22 of 33 matches), while Gateshead keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gateshead
Over / Under - Morecambe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morecambe is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.84 pts / match - Gateshead · 1 pts / match - Morecambe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gateshead - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Morecambe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gateshead
Morecambe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Gateshead | Liga | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.39 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.39 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 56% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 24% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 80% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gateshead 1 - 0 - 0 Morecambe. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gateshead vs Morecambe?
The National League match finished Gateshead 4:4 Morecambe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gateshead vs Morecambe?
Gateshead score 1.13 goals per game on average and Morecambe 1.27. The National League average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Gateshead's matches and 55% of Morecambe's.
What form are Gateshead and Morecambe in?
Over the last 5 games Gateshead have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Morecambe 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gateshead vs Morecambe?
The statistical background for Gateshead vs Morecambe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.