GD Chaves vs Lusitania Lourosa: match statistics
GD Chaves presents poor home form with just 22% of matches won at home and a goal difference of 0 in home games. The last five matches are a streak of three defeats, raising concerns about the team's disposition. On the other hand, Lusitania Lourosa impresses in away matches with 63% wins and an average of 1.75 goals per match, however, their defense is prone to conceding (average 1.63 goals conceded). Chaves has the advantage in possession (56% vs 46%) and higher xG (1.54 vs 1.37), suggesting better game control, but efficiency problems (6% shot conversion) could cost them. Considering the hosts' poor form, the guests' offensive strength, and Chaves' history of draws (44% of home matches), I expect a close match with a slight advantage for a draw or a victory for the hosts playing in front of their own crowd.
GD Chaves vs Lusitania Lourosa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
GD Chaves played Lusitania Lourosa in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
GD Chaves: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Lusitania Lourosa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
GD Chaves scores 1.17 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Lusitania Lourosa scores 1.39 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: GD Chaves 39%, Lusitania Lourosa 67%. Over 2.5: GD Chaves 22%, Lusitania Lourosa 61%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Lusitania Lourosa has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.44. GD Chaves: 12.8 shots per match, Lusitania Lourosa: 12.6.
Match halves
GD Chaves: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.50. Lusitania Lourosa: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
GD Chaves: 16-30 (5 goals). Lusitania Lourosa: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
GD Chaves presents poor home form with just 22% of matches won at home and a goal difference of 0 in home games. The last five matches are a streak of three defeats, raising concerns about the team's disposition. On the other hand, Lusitania Lourosa impresses in away matches with 63% wins and an average of 1.75 goals per match, however, their defense is prone to conceding (average 1.63 goals conceded). Chaves has the advantage in possession (56% vs 46%) and higher xG (1.54 vs 1.37), suggesting better game control, but efficiency problems (6% shot conversion) could cost them. Considering the hosts' poor form, the guests' offensive strength, and Chaves' history of draws (44% of home matches), I expect a close match with a slight advantage for a draw or a victory for the hosts playing in front of their own crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| GD Chaves | Lusitania Lourosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lusitania Lourosa is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - GD Chaves · 1.4 pts / match - Lusitania Lourosa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lusitania Lourosa is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - GD Chaves · 1.39 goals / match - Lusitania Lourosa
GD Chaves is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - GD Chaves · 1.61 goals / match - Lusitania Lourosa
GD Chaves scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Lusitania Lourosa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
Lusitania Lourosa scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while GD Chaves keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - GD Chaves
Over / Under - Lusitania Lourosa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
GD Chaves is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / match - GD Chaves · 1.17 pts / match - Lusitania Lourosa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
GD Chaves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 39%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lusitania Lourosa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
GD Chaves
Lusitania Lourosa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| GD Chaves | Liga | Lusitania Lourosa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.48 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 48% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 43% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 67% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Lusitania LourosaSubstitutionOn: Rodrigo Miguel Forte Paes MartinsOff: Higor Inácio Platiny de Oliveira Rodrigues
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: GD Chaves 0 - 1 - 0 Lusitania Lourosa. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of GD Chaves vs Lusitania Lourosa?
The LigaPro match finished GD Chaves 2:2 Lusitania Lourosa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before GD Chaves vs Lusitania Lourosa?
GD Chaves score 1.17 goals per game on average and Lusitania Lourosa 1.39. The LigaPro average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 39% of GD Chaves's matches and 67% of Lusitania Lourosa's.
What form are GD Chaves and Lusitania Lourosa in?
Over the last 5 games GD Chaves have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Lusitania Lourosa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for GD Chaves vs Lusitania Lourosa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.