GD Chaves vs UD Oliveirense: match statistics
GD Chaves vs UD Oliveirense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
GD Chaves played UD Oliveirense in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 27 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
GD Chaves: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. UD Oliveirense: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
GD Chaves scores 1.13 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. UD Oliveirense scores 1.00 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: GD Chaves 33%, UD Oliveirense 37%. Over 2.5: GD Chaves 27%, UD Oliveirense 40%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
GD Chaves has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.31. GD Chaves: 12.8 shots per match, UD Oliveirense: 11.2.
Match halves
GD Chaves: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.57. UD Oliveirense: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
GD Chaves: 16-30 (9 goals). UD Oliveirense: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
GD Chaves has a clear statistical advantage and should win this match; the hosts are 12th with 11 wins and 34 goals scored, while UD Oliveirense sit 18th with 7 wins and 30 goals. At home Chaves averages 1.00 goal with 13.8 shots and 3.87 on target, has xG 1.51 and a conversion rate of ~7%, whereas the visitors on the road average only 0.33 goals with 10.8 shots and a conversion of ~3%. Defensively Chaves concedes 0.87 goals at home with xG against 1.11, while Oliveirense concede 1.13 away with xG against 1.83, indicating greater vulnerability from the visitors. Additionally, Oliveirense fail to score in 73% of their away matches, compared to Chaves failing to score at home in 33% of games, and in the last 5 fixtures the hosts average 1.2 pts vs 0.8 pts for the visitors. Considering the possession edge 55% vs 48%, superior quality of chances (xG 1.51 vs 1.23) and better shot efficiency (7% vs 3%), I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
GD Chaves averages 1.67 goals per match this season, while UD Oliveirense has only 0.33 goals per match on average, strongly favoring a scenario where the visitors fail to score. Season BTTS rates are 53% for Chaves and 20% for Oliveirense, and in the last 5 meetings both teams scored in only 20% of cases, so Goal/Goal is recently rare. The difference in quality of chances is clear: the home side averages 4.4 shots on target with a 15% conversion, while the visitors average 2.73 shots on target with a 3% conversion, meaning Chaves creates and converts opportunities far more often. From an xG perspective: Chaves has an xG of 1.58 over the last 5 matches, while the average xG against Oliveirense is 1.27, so the hosts' expected chances exceed the visitors' defensive capabilities. Considering the visitors' low season scoring (0.33 goals), Oliveirense’s 40% clean sheets and overall low recent BTTS (20%), I recommend a BTTS - No with an estimated probability of 70% for No Goal/clean sheet expected for one side.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Chaves scores on average 1.67 goals per match this season while Oliveirense averages just 0.33; the percentage of matches over 1.5 goals is 87% for Chaves and 40% for Oliveirense, which strongly supports Over 1.5. xG and form analysis show season xG for the home team 1.38 and for the away team 1.23, with xG against of 1.83 (Oliveirense) and 1.53 (Chaves); a simple season average gives ~1.61 for the hosts and ~1.38 for the visitors, but the last 5 matches lower the forecasts (recent xG for hosts 1.58 and visitors’ defense 1.27), so a weighted average suggests 1.50 for Chaves and 1.20 for Oliveirense (total 2.70). Chaves registers 4.4 shots on target per game versus 2.73 for Oliveirense and has a conversion rate of 15% compared to 3% for the opponents, which increases the likelihood that the hosts will convert chances. BTTS is 53% in Chaves matches and only 20% in Oliveirense matches, so I expect goals more likely from one side than mutual scoring, which further supports a cautious pick of Over 1.5. Based on this, the best signal is an over at the 1.5 line (estimated probability Over 1.5 ≈ 78%), while Over 2.5 is rated at ~45% and Over 3.5 at ~22%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Chaves has a clear statistical edge: they score on average 1.67 goals per match versus Oliveirense’s 0.33, have higher xG (1.38 vs 1.23) and more shots on target (4.4 vs 2.73) with a conversion rate of 15% compared to the visitors’ 3%. Hosts often lead at the break — Chaves were leading in 9 matches, i.e. 60% of their home games, and the average first-half goals are 0.8 for Chaves versus 0.13 for Oliveirense, which favors a home lead at Half-Time. Oliveirense have won only 7% of away matches and score just 0.33 goals per game, so a turnaround after Half-Time is unlikely; therefore the strongest signal is 1/1 (42%). As alternatives I see 1/X (12%) and X/X (9%) if Chaves fail to hold the lead, while options with an away win are rated low (2/2 15% and 2/X 4%) due to Oliveirense’s poor finishing and only 7% away wins.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| GD Chaves | UD Oliveirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
GD Chaves is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - GD Chaves · 0.8 pts / match - UD Oliveirense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
GD Chaves is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - GD Chaves · 1 goals / match - UD Oliveirense
GD Chaves is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - GD Chaves · 1.37 goals / match - UD Oliveirense
GD Chaves scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while UD Oliveirense keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).
UD Oliveirense scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while GD Chaves keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - GD Chaves
Over / Under - UD Oliveirense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
GD Chaves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
UD Oliveirense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
GD Chaves
UD Oliveirense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| GD Chaves | Liga | UD Oliveirense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.23 | 2.44 | • 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 46% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 44% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 32% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 64% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: GD Chaves 1 - 0 - 0 UD Oliveirense. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of GD Chaves vs UD Oliveirense?
The LigaPro match finished GD Chaves 2:1 UD Oliveirense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before GD Chaves vs UD Oliveirense?
GD Chaves score 1.13 goals per game on average and UD Oliveirense 1.00. The LigaPro average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 33% of GD Chaves's matches and 37% of UD Oliveirense's.
What form are GD Chaves and UD Oliveirense in?
Over the last 5 games GD Chaves have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and UD Oliveirense 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for GD Chaves vs UD Oliveirense?
The statistical background for GD Chaves vs UD Oliveirense — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.