Italy - Serie AStadio Comunale Luigi FerrarisData current as of 05 November 2026

Genoa vs AC Milan: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Genoa vs AC Milan: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Genoa play AC Milan in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 8 November 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris.

Current form

Genoa: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. AC Milan: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Genoa scores 1.00 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. AC Milan scores 2.10 and concedes 1.20. League average: 3.18 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Genoa 50%, AC Milan 70%. Over 2.5: Genoa 40%, AC Milan 60%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

AC Milan has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.17. Genoa: 11.2 shots per match, AC Milan: 12.0.

Match halves

Genoa: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.20. AC Milan: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.20.

Goals by minute

Genoa: 0-15 (4 goals). AC Milan: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(5.05)
(3.71)
(1.83)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match2.1
GenoaAC Milan
1.4Goals conceded / match1.2
GenoaAC Milan
44%Average possession59%
GenoaAC Milan
2.9Shots on target / match4.7
GenoaAC Milan

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.2Shots per match12
GenoaAC Milan
2.9Shots on target4.7
GenoaAC Milan
8.9%Shot conversion17.5%
GenoaAC Milan
44%Possession59%
GenoaAC Milan
1.17xG for1.39
GenoaAC Milan
1.78xG against1.26
GenoaAC Milan

Shooting quality

Genoa: BalancedAC Milan: Efficient finishing
GenoaAC Milan
Accuracy (shots on target)26%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Genoa is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Genoa · 2 pts / match - AC Milan

Genoa
WLWWW
Season result split
40% W10% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-5
1.30 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
AC Milan
DWWLW
Season result split
60% W30% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-1
2.10 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-0
Last 5 away
2-3-0
WDDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AC Milan is 110% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Genoa · 2.1 goals / match - AC Milan

AC Milan is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.4 goals / match - Genoa · 1.2 goals / match - AC Milan

Genoa scoring profile: strong

Genoa scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).

AC Milan scoring profile: very strong

AC Milan scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Genoa keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

10Goals scored (season)21
GenoaAC Milan
14Goals conceded (season)12
GenoaAC Milan
2.4Average goals in match3.3
GenoaAC Milan
7Goals scored (last 5)11
GenoaAC Milan
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
GenoaAC Milan

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal100%
GenoaAC Milan
30%2 goals80%
GenoaAC Milan
0%3 goals30%
GenoaAC Milan
0%4 goals0%
GenoaAC Milan

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal70%
GenoaAC Milan
40%2 goals30%
GenoaAC Milan
10%3 goals10%
GenoaAC Milan
10%4 goals10%
GenoaAC Milan

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
GenoaAC Milan
0%BTTS in both halves0%
GenoaAC Milan
0%Scored in both halves30%
GenoaAC Milan

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
GenoaAC Milan
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
GenoaAC Milan
40%BTTS - last 580%
GenoaAC Milan

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
GenoaAC Milan
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
GenoaAC Milan
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
GenoaAC Milan

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
GenoaAC Milan
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time80%
GenoaAC Milan
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
GenoaAC Milan

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AC Milan is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Genoa · 1.9 pts / match - AC Milan

Genoa - half-time state
40% leading20% draw40% trailing
AC Milan - half-time state
50% leading40% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)1.9
GenoaAC Milan
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.9
GenoaAC Milan
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
GenoaAC Milan
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.3
GenoaAC Milan
50%Clean sheet before half-time70%
GenoaAC Milan
50%No goal before half-time50%
GenoaAC Milan

After half-time (2nd half)

0.8Points per match (2nd half)1.8
GenoaAC Milan
0.2Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
GenoaAC Milan
0.7Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
GenoaAC Milan
0.9Average goals (2nd half)2
GenoaAC Milan
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
GenoaAC Milan
80%No goal after half-time20%
GenoaAC Milan

Genoa - second-half results

10% W50% D40% L
14
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

AC Milan - second-half results

50% W30% D20% L
19
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Genoa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.600.60
Goals scored / match1.40.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.60.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%100%
Goal difference+6-3
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
AC Milan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.00
Goals scored / match1.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+6-3
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Genoa
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
4
3
16-30
0
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

AC Milan
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
10
3
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Genoa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 40% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

AC Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.71
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
135%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

GenoaLigaAC Milan
Average goals in match▼ 2.403.18▲ 3.30
Both teams scored▼ 50%58%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%61%• 60%
Clean sheets▼ 20%22%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%70%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time▼ 60%84%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.18
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / match
1.56
Away goals / match
+4%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Genoa 0 - 1 - 1 AC Milan. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Genoa and AC Milan play?

Genoa face AC Milan on 8 November 2026 in Serie A at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Genoa and AC Milan?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Genoa won 0, AC Milan won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Genoa vs AC Milan?

Genoa score 1.00 goals per game on average and AC Milan 2.10. The Serie A average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Genoa's matches and 70% of AC Milan's.

What form are Genoa and AC Milan in?

Over the last 5 games Genoa have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and AC Milan 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Genoa vs AC Milan?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Genoa vs AC Milan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.