Ghazl El Mehalla vs Haras El Hodood: match statistics
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Haras El Hodood: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ghazl El Mehalla played Haras El Hodood in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 29 May 2026. Venue: El Mahalla Stadium. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Ghazl El Mehalla: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Haras El Hodood: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ghazl El Mehalla scores 0.72 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Haras El Hodood scores 0.75 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ghazl El Mehalla 38%, Haras El Hodood 44%. Over 2.5: Ghazl El Mehalla 22%, Haras El Hodood 41%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Haras El Hodood has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.10. Ghazl El Mehalla: 8.8 shots per match, Haras El Hodood: 10.4.
Match halves
Ghazl El Mehalla: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.41. Haras El Hodood: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.31.
Goals by minute
Ghazl El Mehalla: 76-90+ (7 goals). Haras El Hodood: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 2.00 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ghazl El Mehalla concede only 0.38 goals per home match on average and keep a clean sheet in 75% of home appearances, while scoring 0.44 goals per game and having 56% of matches without conceding; 75% of their home fixtures have ended in a draw and they have won only 19%. Haras El Hodood score 0.71 goals and concede 1.50 goals per away match, have only 21% clean sheets on the road, with an away record of 64% losses and a goal difference of -11. The visitors have generated slightly more xG (1.26 vs 1.13 for the hosts) and register more shots (10.57 vs 8.94) and shots on target (3.29 vs 2.00), but their weaker defense away from home and high loss rate limit their chances. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 3 goals and averaged 1 point per game (record 1-2-2), indicating similar form ahead of this meeting. Given Ghazl’s defensive resilience at home (0.38 goals conceded and 75% clean sheets) and the very high draw rate, I predict no-decisions — draw (X) 60%, home win 20%, away win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate close to half of matches: Ghazl El Mehalla 44% and Haras El Hodood 43%, but in the last 5 matches BTTS has dropped to only 20% for both sides, which is a strong short-term signal. Over the season the home side scores 0.78 goals on average and the visitors 0.71 (1.49 goals per match overall), while in the last 5 matches both teams average 0.6 goals each (1.2 total), so goal dynamics are noticeably lower than the seasonal level. xG indicates chance creation (xG 1.21 for Ghazl and 1.26 for Haras), yet actual efficiency is poor: shot conversion 8% and 7% and average shots on target 2.56 and 3.29 do not translate into goals. Although Haras have conceded 44 goals this season versus 24 conceded by Ghazl, the league has a high clean sheet rate — 70% of matches — and Ghazl alone has 39% clean sheets, increasing the likelihood that at least one team will fail to score. Considering the low BTTS rate in the last 5 matches (20%) and the low combined goals average in that period (1.2), I rate No BTTS (No Goal/clean sheet expected) as more likely at 70% versus 30% for BTTS - Yes (both teams to score).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonally Ghazl El Mehalla scores 0.78 goals and concedes 1.28 per match, while Haras El Hodood scores 0.71 and concedes 1.50 per match. Both teams’ xG is higher than actual goals scored: home xG 1.21 and away xG 1.26, and their defenses allow 1.42 (home) and 1.59 (away) respectively, suggesting chances are created but finishing is relatively weak. Averaging seasonal signals and xG I project about 1.10 goals for the home team and 1.02 for the away team, totalling 2.12 goals in the match. This yields a strong signal for Over 1.5 (~62% probability), while Over 2.5 has weaker support (~36%), and Over 3.5 is unlikely (~17%). The best line to play is Over 1.5, which is also supported by seasonal Over 1.5 rates: 56% for the home side and 64% for the away side.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely outcome is a draw at Half-Time and a draw at Full-Time (X/X). The home team drew in 44% of their matches this season and were level at the break in 44% of fixtures; in 4 of their last 5 home games (80%) the half ended tied, which strongly supports a draw at the 45-minute mark. The visitors have only a 14% win rate this season and recorded draws in 40% of their last 5 matches, and both teams score few goals (averaging 0.78 and 0.71 goals per game). Additionally, similar xG — 1.21 for the home side versus 1.26 for the visitors — and low average goals by half (0.44 and 0.43) suggest few clear chances and increase the likelihood of a shared point.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ghazl El Mehalla | Haras El Hodood | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ghazl El Mehalla is 84% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Ghazl El Mehalla · 1.38 goals / match - Haras El Hodood
Ghazl El Mehalla scores in 50% of matches (16 of 32 matches), while Haras El Hodood keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
Haras El Hodood scores in 56% of matches (18 of 32 matches), while Ghazl El Mehalla keeps a clean sheet in 56% (18 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ghazl El Mehalla
Over / Under - Haras El Hodood
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ghazl El Mehalla is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Ghazl El Mehalla · 0.88 pts / match - Haras El Hodood
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ghazl El Mehalla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 16%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Haras El Hodood - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 16%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ghazl El Mehalla
Haras El Hodood
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ghazl El Mehalla | Liga | Haras El Hodood | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.47 | 2.00 | ▲ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 46% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 34% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 35% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 38% | 58% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ghazl El MehallaSubstitutionOn: Ahmed Mohamed Ahmed Osman Ahmed Mohamed Ahmed OsmanOff: Nojus Paulikas
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ghazl El Mehalla 0 - 1 - 0 Haras El Hodood. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Haras El Hodood?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Ghazl El Mehalla 4:2 Haras El Hodood. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ghazl El Mehalla vs Haras El Hodood?
Ghazl El Mehalla score 0.72 goals per game on average and Haras El Hodood 0.75. The Egyptian Premier League average is 2.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Ghazl El Mehalla's matches and 44% of Haras El Hodood's.
What form are Ghazl El Mehalla and Haras El Hodood in?
Over the last 5 games Ghazl El Mehalla have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Haras El Hodood 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Haras El Hodood?
The statistical background for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Haras El Hodood — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.