England - EFL League TwoMEMS Priestfield StadiumData current as of 18 September 2026

Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gillingham play Bristol Rovers in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: MEMS Priestfield Stadium.

Current form

Gillingham: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Bristol Rovers: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gillingham scores 1.33 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Bristol Rovers scores 2.00 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gillingham 50%, Bristol Rovers 33%. Over 2.5: Gillingham 33%, Bristol Rovers 33%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Bristol Rovers has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.33. Gillingham: 11.8 shots per match, Bristol Rovers: 17.7.

Match halves

Gillingham: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.00. Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Gillingham: 46-60 (3 goals). Bristol Rovers: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.75)
(3.60)
(1.97)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

GillinghamBristol Rovers
1.33Goals scored / match2
GillinghamBristol Rovers
1Goals conceded / match1.33
GillinghamBristol Rovers
44%Average possession46%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
4.17Shots on target / match5
GillinghamBristol Rovers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.83Shots per match17.67
GillinghamBristol Rovers
4.17Shots on target5
GillinghamBristol Rovers
11.3%Shot conversion11.3%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
44%Possession46%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
1.33xG for1.89
GillinghamBristol Rovers
1.56xG against1.11
GillinghamBristol Rovers

Shooting quality

Gillingham: BalancedBristol Rovers: Attacking
GillinghamBristol Rovers
Accuracy (shots on target)35%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bristol Rovers is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Gillingham · 2.4 pts / match - Bristol Rovers

Gillingham
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W50% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
LDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Bristol Rovers
WWWWL
Season result split
67% W0% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-2
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.01Opponent xG: 0.95BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bristol Rovers is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Gillingham · 2 goals / match - Bristol Rovers

Gillingham is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Gillingham · 1.33 goals / match - Bristol Rovers

Gillingham scoring profile: mixed

Gillingham scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

Bristol Rovers scoring profile: very strong

Bristol Rovers scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Gillingham keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

8Goals scored (season)12
GillinghamBristol Rovers
6Goals conceded (season)8
GillinghamBristol Rovers
2.33Average goals in match3.33
GillinghamBristol Rovers
8Goals scored (last 5)10
GillinghamBristol Rovers
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
GillinghamBristol Rovers

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal83%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
33%2 goals67%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
17%3 goals17%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
17%4 goals17%
GillinghamBristol Rovers

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal50%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
17%2 goals50%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
17%3 goals33%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
0%4 goals0%
GillinghamBristol Rovers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
0%BTTS in both halves17%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
17%Scored in both halves50%
GillinghamBristol Rovers

BTTS and goal count

17%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
60%BTTS - last 520%
GillinghamBristol Rovers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
GillinghamBristol Rovers

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
GillinghamBristol Rovers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bristol Rovers is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / match - Gillingham · 2.17 pts / match - Bristol Rovers

Gillingham - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing
Bristol Rovers - half-time state
67% leading17% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)2.17
GillinghamBristol Rovers
0.33Goals scored (1st half)1
GillinghamBristol Rovers
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
GillinghamBristol Rovers
0.67Average goals (1st half)1.5
GillinghamBristol Rovers
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
67%No goal before half-time17%
GillinghamBristol Rovers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.83Points per match (2nd half)1.5
GillinghamBristol Rovers
1Goals scored (2nd half)1
GillinghamBristol Rovers
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
GillinghamBristol Rovers
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.83
GillinghamBristol Rovers
67%Clean sheet after half-time67%
GillinghamBristol Rovers
50%No goal after half-time50%
GillinghamBristol Rovers

Gillingham - second-half results

50% W33% D17% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bristol Rovers - second-half results

33% W50% D17% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gillingham - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Bristol Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.80
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%40%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gillingham
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
3
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Bristol Rovers
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gillingham

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Bristol Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.78
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
192%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

GillinghamLigaBristol Rovers
Average goals in match 2.332.65 3.33
Both teams scored 50%56% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%49% 33%
Clean sheets 33%26% 50%
Goal before half-time 50%75% 100%
Goal after half-time 67%76% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.04
Away goals / match
+55%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+36%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Gillingham 1 - 0 - 1 Bristol Rovers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Gillingham FC
1 : 2
Bristol Rovers FC
Bristol Rovers FC
0 : 1
Gillingham FC

FAQ

When do Gillingham and Bristol Rovers play?

Gillingham face Bristol Rovers on 19 September 2026 in EFL League Two at MEMS Priestfield Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Gillingham and Bristol Rovers?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 1, Bristol Rovers won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers?

Gillingham score 1.33 goals per game on average and Bristol Rovers 2.00. The EFL League Two average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Gillingham's matches and 33% of Bristol Rovers's.

What form are Gillingham and Bristol Rovers in?

Over the last 5 games Gillingham have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Bristol Rovers 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.