Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers: match statistics
Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Glenavon play Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Glenavon: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Carrick Rangers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Glenavon scores 0.97 and concedes 1.82 goals per match. Carrick Rangers scores 1.67 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Glenavon 50%, Carrick Rangers 67%. Over 2.5: Glenavon 58%, Carrick Rangers 62%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Carrick Rangers has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.21. Glenavon: 9.0 shots per match, Carrick Rangers: 9.7.
Match halves
Glenavon: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.58. Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Glenavon: 61-75 (10 goals). Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Carrick Rangers appear to be the favorites: the visitors scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches while Glenavon only 2, and the points average over the last 5 fixtures is 2.0 for Carrick vs 0.6 for Glenavon. Away, Carrick averages 1.61 goals, registers 4.28 shots on target and has a conversion rate of 16%, whereas Glenavon at home has 1.00 goal per game, 3.28 shots on target and an 11% conversion. Defensively the hosts concede 1.56 goals per home match and fail to score in 44% of games, while Carrick concede 1.39 away and have only 17% of matches without scoring, giving the visitors an edge in stability. xG are similar (1.24 xG for Glenavon at home vs 1.30 xG for Carrick away), but the visitors convert chances better (1.61 vs 1.00), so their efficiency supports a win. Additionally, Glenavon have a home goal difference of -10, while Carrick are +4 away and sit 7th in the table versus the hosts’ 12th, which confirms the visitors’ advantage.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Glenavon | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carrick Rangers is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Glenavon · 1.4 pts / match - Carrick Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrick Rangers is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Glenavon · 1.67 goals / match - Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.82 goals / match - Glenavon · 1.56 goals / match - Carrick Rangers
Glenavon scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 39 matches).
Carrick Rangers scores in 85% of matches (33 of 39 matches), while Glenavon keeps a clean sheet in 11% (4 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Glenavon
Over / Under — Carrick Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrick Rangers is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / match - Glenavon · 1.46 pts / match - Carrick Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Glenavon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (23 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Glenavon
Carrick Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Glenavon | Liga | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.79 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Glenavon 1 - 0 - 2 Carrick Rangers. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Glenavon 2:3 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Glenavon won 1, Carrick Rangers won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers?
Glenavon score 0.97 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.67. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Glenavon's matches and 67% of Carrick Rangers's.
What form are Glenavon and Carrick Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Glenavon have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.