Glentoran vs Larne: match statistics
As the league leaders, Larne displays impressive form with a 70% away win rate and an unbeaten run of five matches (4 wins, 1 draw). The visitors boast the league's best defense, conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per away game and keeping a clean sheet in 40% of fixtures. Despite Glentoran's decent home form (60% win rate), they trail in quality; while their home goal difference stands at +7—identical to Larne's away record—the visitors possess a superior PPG (2.6 vs 2.4). xG statistics are level, yet Larne's stronger form over the last five matches (13 points vs 12 points for Glentoran) and their status as table toppers favor the visitors. Taking all factors into account, I marginally favor a Larne victory, although I anticipate a closely contested match.
Glentoran vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Glentoran played Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 13 January 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Glentoran: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Larne: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Glentoran scores 1.71 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Larne scores 1.68 and concedes 0.41. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Glentoran 52%, Larne 27%. Over 2.5: Glentoran 43%, Larne 36%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Larne has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.54. Glentoran: 11.9 shots per match, Larne: 12.6.
Match halves
Glentoran: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.86. Larne: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Glentoran: 31-45+ (9 goals). Larne: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the league leaders, Larne displays impressive form with a 70% away win rate and an unbeaten run of five matches (4 wins, 1 draw). The visitors boast the league's best defense, conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per away game and keeping a clean sheet in 40% of fixtures. Despite Glentoran's decent home form (60% win rate), they trail in quality; while their home goal difference stands at +7—identical to Larne's away record—the visitors possess a superior PPG (2.6 vs 2.4). xG statistics are level, yet Larne's stronger form over the last five matches (13 points vs 12 points for Glentoran) and their status as table toppers favor the visitors. Taking all factors into account, I marginally favor a Larne victory, although I anticipate a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Glentoran | Larne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Larne is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Glentoran · 2.6 pts / match - Larne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 120% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Glentoran · 0.41 goals / match - Larne
Glentoran scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 64% (14 of 22 matches).
Larne scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Glentoran keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Glentoran
Over / Under - Larne
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Glentoran is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.9 pts / match - Glentoran · 1.68 pts / match - Larne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Glentoran - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Larne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Glentoran
Larne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Glentoran | Liga | Larne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.62 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 27% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 75% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Glentoran 0 - 0 - 1 Larne. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Glentoran vs Larne?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Glentoran 1:4 Larne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Glentoran vs Larne?
Glentoran score 1.71 goals per game on average and Larne 1.68. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Glentoran's matches and 27% of Larne's.
What form are Glentoran and Larne in?
Over the last 5 games Glentoran have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Larne 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Glentoran vs Larne?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Glentoran vs Larne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.