Gnistan vs VPS: match statistics
Gnistan vs VPS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gnistan play VPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 27 June 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Mustapekka Areena. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Gnistan: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. VPS: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gnistan scores 1.56 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. VPS scores 1.44 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gnistan 44%, VPS 56%. Over 2.5: Gnistan 38%, VPS 38%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
VPS has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.42. Gnistan: 12.4 shots per match, VPS: 11.7.
Match halves
Gnistan: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.94. VPS: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Gnistan: 61-75 (7 goals). VPS: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-3-0. Average goals 0.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I predict a home win — Gnistan wins 67% of matches at home, scores on average 2.0 goals and concedes 1.67 per match, and the average goals in their home games is 3.67. VPS occupy a higher league position (5th vs 6th) and have a solid away defense (0.67 goals conceded on average), but they score only 0.67 goals away and fail to score in 50% of their away matches. Gnistan’s key advantage is efficiency — at home they average 11.67 shots, 4.5 on target and a 17% conversion rate, translating to ~2.0 goals per match, while VPS with 11.5 shots and 5 on target have only a 6% conversion and effectively 0.67 goals away. In terms of quality of chances, xG shows 1.33 xG for Gnistan at home versus 1.47 xG for VPS away, so the visitors create slightly better-quality chances but do not convert them (1.47 xG vs 0.67 goals). In the last 5 matches both teams scored 8 goals, but Gnistan have better results in that period (2.0 points per match vs 1.6), a lower share of matches without a goal (17% vs 50%) and home advantage, therefore I assess their chances as 60% home win, 20% draw and 20% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gnistan | VPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
VPS is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Gnistan · 2 pts / match - VPS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gnistan is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Gnistan · 1.44 goals / match - VPS
VPS is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Gnistan · 0.81 goals / match - VPS
Gnistan scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
VPS scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Gnistan
Over / Under — VPS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gnistan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
VPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gnistan
VPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Gnistan | Liga | VPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.81 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Gnistan 0 - 3 - 0 VPS. Average goals 0.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gnistan vs VPS?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Gnistan 1:1 VPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gnistan and VPS?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 0, VPS won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 0.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gnistan vs VPS?
Gnistan score 1.56 goals per game on average and VPS 1.44. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Gnistan's matches and 56% of VPS's.
What form are Gnistan and VPS in?
Over the last 5 games Gnistan have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and VPS 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gnistan vs VPS?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.