Goiás vs Botafogo SP: match statistics
Goiás vs Botafogo SP: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Goiás played Botafogo SP in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Goiás: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Botafogo SP: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Goiás scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Botafogo SP scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Goiás 38%, Botafogo SP 63%. Over 2.5: Goiás 38%, Botafogo SP 38%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Botafogo SP has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.13. Goiás: 10.9 shots per match, Botafogo SP: 11.8.
Match halves
Goiás: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Botafogo SP: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Goiás: 76-90+ (3 goals). Botafogo SP: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win for Goiás because their home metrics are markedly superior — 75% home wins, averaging 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. Botafogo SP averages only 0.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded on the road, and fail to score in 50% of away matches, limiting their offensive potential. Created chances quality is similar (xG Goiás 1.09 vs xG Botafogo 1.13), but Goiás is more efficient in finishing actions — shot conversion 12% vs 7% for the visitors and 50% of home matches with a clean sheet vs 0% for Botafogo. Although Goiás have scored 4 and conceded 8 in their last five matches, their home record (+2 goal difference at home) and 0.8 points per game over the last five give them the edge, so I estimate their win probability at about 60%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Goiás at home averages 1.75 goals per game with xG 1.54 and 5.25 shots on target; the home BTTS rate for the season is 75% (in 3 of 4 home matches both teams scored). Botafogo SP away averages only 0.75 goals with xG 1.13, 2.5 shots on target and a conversion rate of 7%, and failed to score in 50% of away fixtures. In the last 5 matches Goiás has BTTS 40% and scores on average 0.8 while conceding 1.6, whereas Botafogo has BTTS 60%, 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Defensive metrics also favor goals for the home side: Botafogo concedes xG against 1.37 versus 1.12 for Goiás, meaning Botafogo’s opponents create more chances. Although the league BTTS is 48% and 68% of matches end in a clean sheet, Goiás’s strong attack (1.75 and xG 1.54) and a 75% home BTTS outweigh the visitors’ away inefficiency, therefore I tip BTTS - Yes as more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project a total of 1.46 xG for Goiás and 1.12 xG for Botafogo SP, totaling 2.58 expected goals in the match. Goiás averages 1.75 goals at home with 5.25 shots on target and 13% conversion, while Botafogo averages 0.75 goals away with 2.5 shots on target and 7% conversion, giving the hosts a clear advantage in chance creation. Season metrics show Goiás has had 100% of home matches over 1.5 goals; hosts have 50% of matches over 2.5, while visitors have only 25% over 2.5 and 0% over 3.5. Additionally, both teams have scored in 75% of home matches and 50% of away matches (BTTS 75%/50%), which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. Based on this, the safest option is Over 1.5 (strongest signal), Over 2.5 has a moderate edge, and Over 3.5 is unlikely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Goiás lead at the break in 75% of matches and score an average of 1.5 goals before halftime, while Botafogo SP manage only 0.25 goals by the break, which strongly favors the home side holding a lead at 45 minutes. Despite this, Goiás win only 25% of home games and draw 50%, meaning many first-half leads do not convert into full-time victories. Second-half stats show Goiás concede an average of 0.75 goals after the interval, and Botafogo score 0.5 goals in the second half, increasing the likelihood of an equalizer from a 1–0 lead. Additionally, xG of 1.54 for Goiás versus 1.13 for Botafogo, together with 5.25 shots on target and a 13% conversion rate for the hosts, support a scenario of leading at halftime; however the high draw rate (50%) and BTTS in Goiás matches (75%) lead to the HT/FT selection 1/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Goiás | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo SP is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Goiás · 1.25 goals / match - Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Goiás · 1 goals / match - Botafogo SP
Goiás scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Botafogo SP keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Botafogo SP scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Goiás keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Goiás
Over / Under - Botafogo SP
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Botafogo SP is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Goiás · 1.75 pts / match - Botafogo SP
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Goiás - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Botafogo SP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Goiás
Botafogo SP
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Goiás | Liga | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.24 | • 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 49% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 43% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 33% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Goiás 1 - 0 - 1 Botafogo SP. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Goiás vs Botafogo SP?
The Serie B match finished Goiás 1:0 Botafogo SP. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Goiás and Botafogo SP?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Goiás won 1, Botafogo SP won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Goiás vs Botafogo SP?
Goiás score 1.00 goals per game on average and Botafogo SP 1.25. The Serie B average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Goiás's matches and 63% of Botafogo SP's.
What form are Goiás and Botafogo SP in?
Over the last 5 games Goiás have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Botafogo SP 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Goiás vs Botafogo SP?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Goiás vs Botafogo SP: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.