Goiás vs Londrina: match statistics

Goiás has a clear home advantage: they win 56% of their home matches, while Londrina wins only 20% of away games and loses as many as 60% of them. The hosts create more chances, averaging 13.11 shots and an xG of 1.43, compared with 10.8 shots and an xG of 1.16 for the visitors. Londrina’s away defence allows an average xG of 1.88 and concedes 1.70 goals per match, while the team has failed to keep a clean sheet in any away game. Goiás have been more consistent over the last five matchdays, collecting 8 points through 2 wins and 2 draws, whereas Londrina have accumulated 5 points. The visitors can still pose a threat, as they score an average of 1.2 goals away from home, but the hosts’ advantage in game control, chance quality and home results points to a Goiás victory.

The BTTS - Yes scenario is slightly more likely, as both teams recorded it in 60% of their last five matches, compared with the league average of 49%. Goiás score an average of 1.5 goals, while Londrina score 1.2, with the visitors’ defence conceding an average of 1.7 goals and 1.88 xG per match. The hosts create more chances, averaging 1.53 xG and 4.2 shots on target, which strongly supports them scoring against a team yet to keep a clean sheet this season. Londrina scored an average of 1.6 goals in their last five matches and produced 1.61 xG, while Goiás conceded 1.0 goal per match during this period. The risk to the pick is Goiás’s 40% clean-sheet rate, but Londrina’s current attacking form marginally favours a goal from both sides.

Goiás average 1.5 goals, while Londrina concede 1.7 goals per match, which points to clear attacking potential for the hosts. Goiás’ offensive potential is supported by an xG of 1.53, while Londrina allow opponents an xG as high as 1.88. The visitors are also capable of contributing a goal: they have averaged 1.6 goals scored over their last five matches, while both teams recorded games with both sides scoring in 60% of their matches during this period. At least 2 goals were scored in 70% of Goiás’ matches and 80% of Londrina’s, making Over 1.5 goals the strongest selection. The 2.5 line has positive arguments, but with a league average of 2.31 goals, it remains clearly less secure than Over 1.5.

The strongest scenario is Goiás leading at the break and securing the win, as the hosts were ahead at half-time in 60% of their last five matches, while Londrina were trailing at half-time in 60% of their games over the same period. Goiás are also creating clearly better-quality chances: their average xG stands at 1.53 compared with the visitors’ 1.16, while the hosts’ opponents concede an average of 1.88 xG. The advantage is also evident in attacking activity, with Goiás averaging 14.7 shots and 4.2 on target, compared with Londrina’s 10.8 and 3.2 respectively. The hosts averaged 2.0 points at half-time across their last five matches, compared with just 0.8 for Londrina, while their first-half goal difference over that period was +3 versus -2 for the visitors. Although a draw at half-time remains a realistic possibility, given that 60% of Goiás’ matches this season have been level at the break, Londrina’s weaker defence—conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match and failing to keep a clean sheet—strengthens the 1/1 HT/FT scenario.