Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United: match statistics
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Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gor Mahia play Nairobi United in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 23 October 2026. Venue: Moi International Sports Centre.
Current form
Gor Mahia: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Nairobi United: 0-2-0, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gor Mahia scores 2.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Nairobi United scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gor Mahia 50%, Nairobi United 50%. Over 2.5: Gor Mahia 50%, Nairobi United 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Gor Mahia has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.44. Gor Mahia: 15.0 shots per match, Nairobi United: 10.0.
Match halves
Gor Mahia: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 2.00. Nairobi United: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Gor Mahia: 46-60 (2 goals). Nairobi United: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 67%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gor Mahia | Nairobi United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.71 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gor Mahia is 200% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Gor Mahia · 1 pts / match - Nairobi United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gor Mahia is 150% better for: goals scored per match.
2.5 goals / match - Gor Mahia · 1 goals / match - Nairobi United
Gor Mahia scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Nairobi United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Nairobi United scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gor Mahia
Over / Under - Nairobi United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gor Mahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nairobi United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gor Mahia
Nairobi United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Gor Mahia | Liga | Nairobi United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 2.24 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 32% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Gor Mahia 0 - 2 - 1 Nairobi United. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
When do Gor Mahia and Nairobi United play?
Gor Mahia face Nairobi United on 23 October 2026 in Kenyan Premier League at Moi International Sports Centre. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gor Mahia and Nairobi United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Gor Mahia won 0, Nairobi United won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United?
Gor Mahia score 2.50 goals per game on average and Nairobi United 1.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Gor Mahia's matches and 50% of Nairobi United's.
What form are Gor Mahia and Nairobi United in?
Over the last 5 games Gor Mahia have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Nairobi United 0-2-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.