Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb: match statistics
Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gorica play Dinamo Zagreb in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Gorica: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Dinamo Zagreb: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gorica scores 1.11 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Dinamo Zagreb scores 2.58 and concedes 0.78. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gorica 50%, Dinamo Zagreb 53%. Over 2.5: Gorica 44%, Dinamo Zagreb 69%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Zagreb has higher xG: 2.01 vs 1.30. Gorica: 10.8 shots per match, Dinamo Zagreb: 16.6.
Match halves
Gorica: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.44. Dinamo Zagreb: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 1.47.
Goals by minute
Gorica: 76-90+ (10 goals). Dinamo Zagreb: 76-90+ (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Dinamo Zagreb are clear favorites: they sit 1st in the table with 24 wins and 85 goals scored this season, while Gorica have 10 wins and 37 goals. In their last five matches Dinamo have 4 wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.6 points per game and scoring 16 goals; Gorica have 2 wins and 3 defeats, averaging 1.2 points per game and only 6 goals. Match metrics strongly favor Dinamo: away they average 2.38 goals with xG 2.0 and concede 0.69 goals, whereas Gorica at home score 1.25 goals, xG 1.3 and concede 1.31 goals per game. The visitors average 5.69 shots on target and 56% possession away, while the hosts average 3.75 shots on target and 48% possession; Dinamo also have 56% clean sheets away with 13% of matches goalless, versus Gorica’s 31% clean sheets and 25% goalless matches. Given the superiority in finishing, xG and defensive metrics, I project a Dinamo victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gorica | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dinamo Zagreb is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Gorica · 2.6 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Zagreb is 132% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Gorica · 2.58 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Gorica · 0.78 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb
Gorica scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Dinamo Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 44% (16 of 36 matches).
Dinamo Zagreb scores in 92% of matches (33 of 36 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Gorica
Over / Under — Dinamo Zagreb
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Zagreb is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Gorica · 2.14 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dinamo Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (23 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +19 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Gorica | Liga | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.66 | ▲ 3.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Gorica 1 - 0 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The Prva HNL match finished Gorica 1:2 Dinamo Zagreb. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gorica and Dinamo Zagreb?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Gorica won 1, Dinamo Zagreb won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Gorica score 1.11 goals per game on average and Dinamo Zagreb 2.58. The Prva HNL average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Gorica's matches and 53% of Dinamo Zagreb's.
What form are Gorica and Dinamo Zagreb in?
Over the last 5 games Gorica have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Dinamo Zagreb 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.