Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: match statistics
Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gorica played Lokomotiva Zagreb in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 17 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Gorica: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Lokomotiva Zagreb: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gorica scores 1.17 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.17 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gorica 55%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 69%. Over 2.5: Gorica 48%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 45%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiva Zagreb has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.33. Gorica: 11.2 shots per match, Lokomotiva Zagreb: 10.6.
Match halves
Gorica: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.52. Lokomotiva Zagreb: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Gorica: 76-90+ (10 goals). Lokomotiva Zagreb: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gorica has held the offensive edge in recent weeks — scoring 8 goals in the last 5 matches (1.6 per game), while Lokomotiva managed only 5 goals in the same period (1.0 per game). At home Gorica averages 1.36 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per match, whereas Lokomotiva on the road posts just 0.93 goals scored and as many as 1.86 conceded per match, which clearly favors the home side in terms of attacking efficiency and defensive organization. The hosts register on average 3.93 shots on target at home with a conversion rate of 13%, while the visitors average 3.0 shots on target away and a 9% conversion — Lokomotiva therefore creates fewer chances and converts them less efficiently. Additionally, Lokomotiva has no clean sheets away (0%) and loses 50% of their away matches, while Gorica has 29% clean sheets and 36% home wins; xG for both teams is similar (1.31 vs 1.33), so the differences come down to conversion and defensive structure. Considering these specific numbers and the fact that both teams have averaged 1 point per game over the last 5 fixtures, I favor the home side and predict a Gorica victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high season BTTS rates: Gorica 67% and Lokomotiva 71%, above the league average of 55%. Lokomotiva has kept 0% clean sheets and concedes on average 1.86 goals per match, while Gorica scores 1.4 and concedes 1.33, increasing the likelihood of Goal/Goal. xG is similar (xG_for 1.36 vs 1.33) and xG_against is 1.48 vs 1.45, with average shots around 10.7 (Gorica) and 10.4 (Lokomotiva) and 3.8 vs 3.0 shots on target, so both teams generate clear scoring opportunities. In the last 5 matches Gorica had BTTS in only 40% (8 scored and 8 conceded), and Lokomotiva 60% (5 scored and 9 conceded), which partially weakens the home signal. Given the season-long 67%/71%, Lokomotiva’s lack of clean sheets (0%) and the similar xG, I pick BTTS - Yes with a probability of 75% versus 25% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is 1.36 (Gorica) + 1.33 (Lokomotiva) = 2.69, suggesting roughly 2.7 expected goals. Seasonal goals averages are 1.4 (Gorica) and 0.93 (Lokomotiva), and in the last 5 matches the teams have averaged 1.6 and 1.0 goals respectively, so a realistic projection falls in the 2.3–2.7 goal range. Over 1.5 stats are very high: Gorica 87% of matches over 1.5, Lokomotiva 100%, and BTTS rates of 67% and 71%, which increases the likelihood of at least 2 goals. Gorica averages 10.67 shots with a 13% conversion rate, Lokomotiva 10.43 with a 9% conversion, which further supports goal expectations; meanwhile seasonal Over 2.5 is 53% vs 36% and Over 3.5 only 27% vs 21%. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is a play on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Gorica has a clear statistical advantage: they win 47% of home matches and average 1.67 points per game, while Lokomotiva has only a 7% win rate and 0.64 points away. The home side scores on average 1.4 goals per match (xG 1.36) versus 0.93 for the visitors (xG 1.33) and converts chances more efficiently (conversion 13% vs 9%). At half-time Gorica led in 40% of matches, whereas Lokomotiva were in front in only 29% of cases and were leading at the break far less often; in 50% of cases they were trailing, which supports a home lead at 45 minutes. After the break Gorica average 0.73 goals and 1.6 points per match in second halves, while Lokomotiva record 0.43 goals and 0.71 points, and the visitors concede as many as 10 goals in minutes 76–90. The strongest signal from the data is a half-time lead for the hosts and a full-time victory for Gorica (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gorica | Lokomotiva Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gorica is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Gorica · 1 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gorica is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Gorica · 1.59 goals / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Gorica scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gorica
Over / Under - Lokomotiva Zagreb
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gorica is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Gorica · 1.24 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 28%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gorica
Lokomotiva Zagreb
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Gorica | Liga | Lokomotiva Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.55 | 2.73 | • 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 55% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Gorica 2 - 0 - 1 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
The Prva HNL match finished Gorica 0:2 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gorica and Lokomotiva Zagreb?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Gorica won 2, Lokomotiva Zagreb won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Gorica score 1.17 goals per game on average and Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.17. The Prva HNL average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Gorica's matches and 69% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's.
What form are Gorica and Lokomotiva Zagreb in?
Over the last 5 games Gorica have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.