Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: match statistics
Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gorica play Lokomotiva Zagreb in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 17 April 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Gorica: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Lokomotiva Zagreb: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gorica scores 1.11 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.11 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gorica 50%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 64%. Over 2.5: Gorica 44%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 42%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiva Zagreb has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.30. Gorica: 10.8 shots per match, Lokomotiva Zagreb: 10.2.
Match halves
Gorica: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.44. Lokomotiva Zagreb: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Gorica: 76-90+ (10 goals). Lokomotiva Zagreb: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Gorica has held the offensive edge in recent weeks — scoring 8 goals in the last 5 matches (1.6 per game), while Lokomotiva managed only 5 goals in the same period (1.0 per game). At home Gorica averages 1.36 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per match, whereas Lokomotiva on the road posts just 0.93 goals scored and as many as 1.86 conceded per match, which clearly favors the home side in terms of attacking efficiency and defensive organization. The hosts register on average 3.93 shots on target at home with a conversion rate of 13%, while the visitors average 3.0 shots on target away and a 9% conversion — Lokomotiva therefore creates fewer chances and converts them less efficiently. Additionally, Lokomotiva has no clean sheets away (0%) and loses 50% of their away matches, while Gorica has 29% clean sheets and 36% home wins; xG for both teams is similar (1.31 vs 1.33), so the differences come down to conversion and defensive structure. Considering these specific numbers and the fact that both teams have averaged 1 point per game over the last 5 fixtures, I favor the home side and predict a Gorica victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gorica | Lokomotiva Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gorica is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Gorica · 0.8 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gorica is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Gorica · 1.44 goals / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Gorica scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 19% (7 of 36 matches).
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Gorica
Over / Under — Lokomotiva Zagreb
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gorica is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Gorica · 1.19 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gorica
Lokomotiva Zagreb
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Gorica | Liga | Lokomotiva Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Gorica 2 - 0 - 1 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
The Prva HNL match finished Gorica 0:2 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gorica and Lokomotiva Zagreb?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Gorica won 2, Lokomotiva Zagreb won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Gorica score 1.11 goals per game on average and Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.11. The Prva HNL average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Gorica's matches and 64% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's.
What form are Gorica and Lokomotiva Zagreb in?
Over the last 5 games Gorica have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.