Gorica vs Rijeka: match statistics
Rijeka appear to have the edge in this encounter, despite the more challenging conditions of playing away. Gorica are only in 8th place in the table with a negative home goal difference (-4) and poor home form (31% win rate). Rijeka, sitting in 3rd position, display better overall statistics with 10 wins this season and a higher average xG in away matches (1.51 vs 1.3 for Gorica). The recent form of both teams is similar (Gorica 1.6 PPG, Rijeka 1.4 PPG), but the squad quality and league position favor the visitors. Considering that Rijeka have a 33% draw rate away from home and Gorica's difficulties in keeping clean sheets (only 23% CS%), I expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the visitors.
Gorica vs Rijeka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gorica played Rijeka in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Gorica: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Rijeka: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gorica scores 1.12 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Rijeka scores 1.42 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gorica 58%, Rijeka 50%. Over 2.5: Gorica 50%, Rijeka 42%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Rijeka has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.38. Gorica: 11.7 shots per match, Rijeka: 14.8.
Match halves
Gorica: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.46. Rijeka: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Gorica: 76-90+ (9 goals). Rijeka: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rijeka appear to have the edge in this encounter, despite the more challenging conditions of playing away. Gorica are only in 8th place in the table with a negative home goal difference (-4) and poor home form (31% win rate). Rijeka, sitting in 3rd position, display better overall statistics with 10 wins this season and a higher average xG in away matches (1.51 vs 1.3 for Gorica). The recent form of both teams is similar (Gorica 1.6 PPG, Rijeka 1.4 PPG), but the squad quality and league position favor the visitors. Considering that Rijeka have a 33% draw rate away from home and Gorica's difficulties in keeping clean sheets (only 23% CS%), I expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gorica | Rijeka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rijeka is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Gorica · 1.8 pts / match - Rijeka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rijeka is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Gorica · 1.42 goals / match - Rijeka
Rijeka is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - Gorica · 1.04 goals / match - Rijeka
Gorica scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Rijeka keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
Rijeka scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gorica
Over / Under - Rijeka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rijeka is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Gorica · 1.54 pts / match - Rijeka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rijeka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gorica
Rijeka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Gorica | Liga | Rijeka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.58 | 2.70 | ▼ 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Gorica 0 - 0 - 2 Rijeka. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gorica vs Rijeka?
The Prva HNL match finished Gorica 4:0 Rijeka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gorica and Rijeka?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Gorica won 0, Rijeka won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gorica vs Rijeka?
Gorica score 1.12 goals per game on average and Rijeka 1.42. The Prva HNL average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Gorica's matches and 50% of Rijeka's.
What form are Gorica and Rijeka in?
Over the last 5 games Gorica have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Rijeka 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorica vs Rijeka?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.