Gorilla vs Marines: match statistics
Marines display a significantly better offensive form, scoring an average of 1.25 goals per away match compared to Gorilla's mere 0.82 goals at home. The hosts find themselves in 14th place in the standings and have managed only one win in their last five matches, suffering four defeats. Marines, despite a poorer away record (58% loss rate), show higher offensive efficiency with an xG of 1.35 and a better shot conversion rate. Gorilla fails to score in 45% of their home games, indicating serious issues in creating goal-scoring opportunities. The difference in attacking quality and current form speaks in favor of the visitors, who have secured 1.2 points per game in their last five matches compared to Gorilla's mere 0.6 points.
Gorilla vs Marines: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gorilla played Marines in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Gorilla: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Marines: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gorilla scores 0.70 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Marines scores 1.26 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gorilla 43%, Marines 52%. Over 2.5: Gorilla 39%, Marines 39%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Marines has higher xG: 1.20 vs 0.89. Gorilla: 4.9 shots per match, Marines: 7.3.
Match halves
Gorilla: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.26. Marines: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Gorilla: 16-30 (5 goals). Marines: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Marines display a significantly better offensive form, scoring an average of 1.25 goals per away match compared to Gorilla's mere 0.82 goals at home. The hosts find themselves in 14th place in the standings and have managed only one win in their last five matches, suffering four defeats. Marines, despite a poorer away record (58% loss rate), show higher offensive efficiency with an xG of 1.35 and a better shot conversion rate. Gorilla fails to score in 45% of their home games, indicating serious issues in creating goal-scoring opportunities. The difference in attacking quality and current form speaks in favor of the visitors, who have secured 1.2 points per game in their last five matches compared to Gorilla's mere 0.6 points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gorilla | Marines | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Marines is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Gorilla · 1.2 pts / match - Marines
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marines is 80% better for: goals scored per match.
0.7 goals / match - Gorilla · 1.26 goals / match - Marines
Gorilla scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Marines scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Gorilla keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gorilla
Over / Under - Marines
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Marines is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Gorilla · 1.83 pts / match - Marines
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gorilla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Marines - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 39%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gorilla
Marines
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Gorilla | Liga | Marines | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.87 | 2.09 | ▲ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 39% | 35% | ▲ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 34% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 62% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | • 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MarinesGoalTaïba Mbonyumwami
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gorilla 0 - 0 - 1 Marines. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gorilla vs Marines?
The National Soccer League match finished Gorilla 1:1 Marines. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gorilla vs Marines?
Gorilla score 0.70 goals per game on average and Marines 1.26. The National Soccer League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Gorilla's matches and 52% of Marines's.
What form are Gorilla and Marines in?
Over the last 5 games Gorilla have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Marines 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorilla vs Marines?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gorilla vs Marines: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.