Grazer AK vs Hartberg: match statistics
Grazer AK vs Hartberg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grazer AK played Hartberg in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 30 October 2026. Venue: Merkur Arena. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Grazer AK: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Hartberg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grazer AK scores 0.80 and concedes 2.30 goals per match. Hartberg scores 1.60 and concedes 1.90. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grazer AK 50%, Hartberg 60%. Over 2.5: Grazer AK 60%, Hartberg 60%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Grazer AK has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.27. Grazer AK: 13.5 shots per match, Hartberg: 11.8.
Match halves
Grazer AK: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.20. Hartberg: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Grazer AK: 0-15 (4 goals). Hartberg: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grazer AK have avoided defeat in all 4 home matches, although 3 ended in draws, so the home advantage is not decisive. At home, they create chances worth an average xG of 1.94, while Hartberg allow opponents an xG of 2.25 away from home and concede an average of 1.75 goals. The hosts do, however, need to improve their finishing: despite averaging 18.75 shots per match, they score just 1 goal at home and have failed to find the net in half of their matches. Hartberg have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches, compared with 6 for Grazer AK, but have lost 2 of their 4 away games and kept no clean sheets in them. The hosts’ stronger home numbers in chance creation and defensive performance point towards a win, although their frequent draws warrant caution.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 80% of games, well above the league average of 55%. Grazer AK conceded an average of 2.0 goals during this period, while Hartberg conceded 2.2, meaning both defences regularly allow opponents chances to score. The hosts average 1.83 goals at home, and the visitors have scored an average of 2.2 goals in their last 5 matches, strengthening the case for goals at both ends. In addition, Hartberg have failed to keep a clean sheet in their away matches, although their average xG in those games is only 0.99, which slightly reduces confidence in the prediction. Even so, the combination of a high BTTS rate and the number of goals conceded points towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 83% of Grazer AK’s home matches and 75% of Hartberg’s away games. The hosts average 1.83 goals at home, while the visitors concede 1.75 on the road, increasing the likelihood of Grazer AK finding the net. Hartberg, meanwhile, have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches, while Grazer AK have conceded 10 over the same period. The average total goals in those five-match samples was 4.4 for Hartberg and 3.2 for Grazer AK, so recent form also supports a bet on at least two goals. The 2.5 line is less certain, having been exceeded in 50% of the hosts’ matches, compared with 75% of the visitors’ games.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hartberg led at the break in 2 of the 4 away matches analysed, while Grazer AK were trailing at half-time in 3 of their 6 home games. The visitors average 0.75 goals scored and 0.5 conceded before the break, compared with 0.5 scored and 1.0 conceded by the hosts, which points to Hartberg leading after the first half. Recent form also supports them holding on to that advantage: across their last five matches, Hartberg averaged 2.2 goals scored compared with Grazer AK’s 1.2, and scored 1.6 goals after the break compared with their opponents’ 0.2. However, the 2/2 pick is not a certainty, as Grazer AK average 1.33 goals after half-time at home, while Hartberg average just 0.5 away from home. Even so, the visitors’ advantage before the break and their superior recent scoring form make Hartberg leading at half-time and winning at full-time the most likely single scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grazer AK | Hartberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hartberg is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Grazer AK · 1.6 pts / match - Hartberg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hartberg is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Grazer AK · 1.6 goals / match - Hartberg
Hartberg is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.3 goals / match - Grazer AK · 1.9 goals / match - Hartberg
Grazer AK scores in 50% of matches (5 of 10 matches), while Hartberg keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
Hartberg scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Grazer AK keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grazer AK
Over / Under - Hartberg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grazer AK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hartberg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grazer AK
Hartberg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Grazer AK | Liga | Hartberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.10 | 3.18 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 24% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Grazer AK 0 - 1 - 1 Hartberg. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grazer AK vs Hartberg?
The Bundesliga match finished Grazer AK 0:4 Hartberg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grazer AK and Hartberg?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Grazer AK won 0, Hartberg won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grazer AK vs Hartberg?
Grazer AK score 0.80 goals per game on average and Hartberg 1.60. The Bundesliga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Grazer AK's matches and 60% of Hartberg's.
What form are Grazer AK and Hartberg in?
Over the last 5 games Grazer AK have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Hartberg 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grazer AK vs Hartberg?
The statistical background for Grazer AK vs Hartberg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.