Grazer AK vs Salzburg: match statistics
Grazer AK vs Salzburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grazer AK played Salzburg in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Merkur Arena. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Grazer AK: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Salzburg: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grazer AK scores 0.86 and concedes 2.29 goals per match. Salzburg scores 2.57 and concedes 0.57. League average: 3.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grazer AK 43%, Salzburg 57%. Over 2.5: Grazer AK 71%, Salzburg 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Salzburg has higher xG: 2.24 vs 1.36. Grazer AK: 12.7 shots per match, Salzburg: 20.4.
Match halves
Grazer AK: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.29. Salzburg: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.43.
Goals by minute
Grazer AK: 0-15 (2 goals). Salzburg: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.07 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Salzburg sit 2nd and remain unbeaten after 7 matches, while ninth-placed Grazer AK have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding just 2; during the same period, the hosts have scored 6 and conceded 4. Salzburg also create more chances away from home: their average xG is 2.37, compared with Grazer AK's 1.92 at home, while shots on target per match stand at 9.33 and 6 respectively. The visitors' defence concedes an average of 0.67 goals away from home, compared with 1 goal conceded by the hosts at home. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as both teams have drawn 2 of their 3 matches away and at home respectively, but Salzburg's clinical finishing and current form give them the edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Neither team has yet finished a match without scoring, and their BTTS rates stand at 50% and 67%, respectively. The case for BTTS - Yes is also supported by their attacking potential: Grazer AK and Salzburg average 2.14 and 2.37 xG, with 7.0 and 9.33 shots on target per match. In their last five games, the hosts averaged 1.2 goals scored and the visitors 2.6, giving both sides good reason to find the net in this match. However, caution is warranted: over the same period, Salzburg conceded just 0.4 goals per match, and both teams scored in only 40% of their games.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was cleared in 75% of Grazer AK’s matches and 100% of Salzburg’s matches in the statistics provided. Salzburg scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.6 per game, while Grazer AK scored 6 over the same period, averaging 1.2 per match. Both teams’ attacking potential is reflected in their average xG of 2.14 for the home side and 2.37 for the visitors, although their solid defensive records support a more cautious forecast than the number of chances alone might suggest. The 2.5-goal line is less certain, as Salzburg cleared it in 33% of the specified matches and Grazer AK in 75%. Therefore, with a projected total of 2.95 goals, the lower Over 1.5 line offers more value than the more demanding 2.5 threshold.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is likely, as Grazer AK were level at the break in 2 of their 4 home matches, while Salzburg did so in 2 of 3 away games; neither team conceded before half-time in those matches. The home side’s advantage looks stronger after the break: they average 1.75 goals in the second half at home, compared with Salzburg’s 1.0 away. Grazer AK have won all 4 of their home matches, scoring an average of 3.25 goals, which points to a closely contested game tipping in their favour. However, this pick carries significant risk, as Salzburg have won 4 of their last 5 matches and produce an away xG of 2.37, compared with Grazer AK’s home xG of 2.14. Despite the visitors’ strong form, the combination of frequent half-time draws and Grazer AK’s perfect home record gives the X/1 scenario a slight edge.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grazer AK | Salzburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Salzburg is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Grazer AK · 2.6 pts / match - Salzburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Salzburg is 199% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Grazer AK · 2.57 goals / match - Salzburg
Salzburg is 302% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.29 goals / match - Grazer AK · 0.57 goals / match - Salzburg
Grazer AK scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Salzburg keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Salzburg scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Grazer AK keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grazer AK
Over / Under - Salzburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Salzburg is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Grazer AK · 1.86 pts / match - Salzburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grazer AK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Salzburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grazer AK
Salzburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Grazer AK | Liga | Salzburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.14 | 3.07 | • 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 76% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Grazer AK 0 - 1 - 1 Salzburg. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grazer AK vs Salzburg?
The Bundesliga match finished Grazer AK 0:0 Salzburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grazer AK and Salzburg?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Grazer AK won 0, Salzburg won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grazer AK vs Salzburg?
Grazer AK score 0.86 goals per game on average and Salzburg 2.57. The Bundesliga average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Grazer AK's matches and 57% of Salzburg's.
What form are Grazer AK and Salzburg in?
Over the last 5 games Grazer AK have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Salzburg 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grazer AK vs Salzburg?
The statistical background for Grazer AK vs Salzburg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.