Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity: match statistics
Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Greenville Triumph played Spokane Velocity in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 14 October 2026. Venue: Legacy Early College. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
Greenville Triumph: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Spokane Velocity: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Greenville Triumph scores 1.10 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. Spokane Velocity scores 1.54 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Greenville Triumph 48%, Spokane Velocity 54%. Over 2.5: Greenville Triumph 59%, Spokane Velocity 61%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Greenville Triumph has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.44. Greenville Triumph: 12.4 shots per match, Spokane Velocity: 12.1.
Match halves
Greenville Triumph: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.45. Spokane Velocity: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Greenville Triumph: 0-15 (9 goals). Spokane Velocity: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Spokane Velocity are favorites primarily because of their recent results: they have picked up 8 points in their last five matches, while Greenville Triumph have lost all five, scoring just 2 goals and conceding 14. The visitors sit 6th in the table and have recorded 14 wins this season, while the hosts are 16th with 6 victories. Greenville are nonetheless more dangerous at home, where they average 1.64 goals and post an xG of 1.66, compared with Spokane’s 0.92 goals and 1.45 xG away from home. The visitors’ current form and more reliable defensive record give them the edge: they concede an average of 1.33 goals away, while Greenville allow opponents to score 1.71 per match at home. Spokane’s weaker away scoring record makes this prediction less certain, but the hosts’ run of five consecutive defeats points to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The biggest obstacle to both teams scoring is Greenville’s recent lack of finishing: they have scored just 2 goals in their last five matches, an average of 0.4 per game, despite a season average of 2.0 at home. Spokane have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their away matches, increasing the risk that the hosts fail to score. On the other hand, the visitors have averaged 0.92 goals away from home and failed to score in 33% of matches, although Greenville’s defense has conceded as many as 14 goals in their last five games. The season-long BTTS rate is 67% for Greenville and 42% for Spokane, so the signals are mixed, but the hosts’ current lack of goalscoring form tips the forecast slightly toward BTTS - No. This means at least one team is expected not to score; it does not necessarily mean a 0-0 draw or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 80% of Greenville matches and 67% of Spokane matches. The hosts average 2.0 goals scored, but have managed just 0.4 goals and conceded as many as 2.8 per game across their last five matches, increasing the importance of the visitors’ attacking threat. Spokane have recently averaged 1.6 goals, and both teams generate 1.45 xG per match, so the chances of at least two goals do not depend solely on one side’s finishing. Over 2.5 goals is less reliable, having landed in 80% of Greenville matches but only 42% of Spokane matches; this makes the lower line the better option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Spokane leading at the break and winning the match: Greenville have lost their last 5 matches, trailing at half-time in 4 of them and conceding an average of 1.8 goals before the break. Over the same period, the visitors recorded 2 wins and 2 draws, while the hosts scored just 0.4 goals per match and conceded 2.8. Spokane’s prospects of maintaining their advantage are also supported by their second-half performances: in their last 5 matches, the visitors averaged 1.0 goals after the break, while Greenville failed to score in any second half. However, the risk of a half-time draw remains significant, as Spokane failed to score in the first half in 4 of their last 5 matches. The hosts’ season figures—67% wins and an average of 2.0 goals scored compared with 0.92 for the visitors—temper confidence in the pick, but their current form more strongly supports the 2/2 scenario in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Greenville Triumph | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Spokane Velocity is 1000% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Greenville Triumph · 2.2 pts / match - Spokane Velocity
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spokane Velocity is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Greenville Triumph · 1.54 goals / match - Spokane Velocity
Spokane Velocity is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.86 goals / match - Greenville Triumph · 1.29 goals / match - Spokane Velocity
Greenville Triumph scores in 59% of matches (17 of 29 matches), while Spokane Velocity keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).
Spokane Velocity scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Greenville Triumph keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Greenville Triumph
Over / Under - Spokane Velocity
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spokane Velocity is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Greenville Triumph · 1.5 pts / match - Spokane Velocity
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Greenville Triumph - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Spokane Velocity - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Greenville Triumph
Spokane Velocity
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Greenville Triumph | Liga | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.97 | 2.97 | ▼ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 60% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 59% | 60% | • 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 23% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 75% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 81% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Greenville Triumph 1 - 0 - 2 Spokane Velocity. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity?
The USL League One match finished Greenville Triumph 4:3 Spokane Velocity. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Greenville Triumph and Spokane Velocity?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Greenville Triumph won 1, Spokane Velocity won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity?
Greenville Triumph score 1.10 goals per game on average and Spokane Velocity 1.54. The USL League One average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Greenville Triumph's matches and 54% of Spokane Velocity's.
What form are Greenville Triumph and Spokane Velocity in?
Over the last 5 games Greenville Triumph have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Spokane Velocity 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity?
The statistical background for Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.