Grêmio vs Chapecoense: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Grêmio vs Chapecoense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grêmio play Chapecoense in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 30 August 2026. Venue: Arena do Grêmio.
Current form
Grêmio: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Chapecoense: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grêmio scores 1.04 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Chapecoense scores 1.04 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grêmio 57%, Chapecoense 61%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 43%, Chapecoense 52%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Chapecoense has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.24. Grêmio: 11.3 shots per match, Chapecoense: 12.3.
Match halves
Grêmio: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.70. Chapecoense: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Grêmio: 46-60 (8 goals). Chapecoense: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | Chapecoense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chapecoense is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Grêmio · 1 pts / match - Chapecoense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grêmio is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Grêmio · 2 goals / match - Chapecoense
Grêmio scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Chapecoense keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).
Chapecoense scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grêmio
Over / Under - Chapecoense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grêmio is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Grêmio · 0.7 pts / match - Chapecoense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Chapecoense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grêmio
Chapecoense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | Chapecoense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.62 | ▲ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 75% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Grêmio 0 - 1 - 0 Chapecoense. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Grêmio and Chapecoense play?
Grêmio face Chapecoense on 30 August 2026 in Serie A at Arena do Grêmio. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Chapecoense?
Grêmio score 1.04 goals per game on average and Chapecoense 1.04. The Serie A average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Grêmio's matches and 61% of Chapecoense's.
What form are Grêmio and Chapecoense in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Chapecoense 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Chapecoense?
The statistical background for Grêmio vs Chapecoense — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.