Grêmio vs Chapecoense: match statistics
Grêmio vs Chapecoense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grêmio played Chapecoense in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 30 August 2026. Venue: Arena do Grêmio. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Grêmio: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Chapecoense: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grêmio scores 1.04 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Chapecoense scores 1.04 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grêmio 57%, Chapecoense 61%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 43%, Chapecoense 52%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Chapecoense has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.24. Grêmio: 11.3 shots per match, Chapecoense: 12.3.
Match halves
Grêmio: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.70. Chapecoense: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Grêmio: 46-60 (8 goals). Chapecoense: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grêmio have a clear home advantage: they have won 55% of their home matches and average 1.64 goals per game there, while Chapecoense have not won a single away match. The visitors score just 0.64 goals per away game, fail to find the net in 45% of such appearances, and average only 2.27 shots on target—well below Grêmio’s 5.0 at home. Chapecoense’s defense looks particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.73 goals away from home, keeping no clean sheets, and allowing opponents an xG of 2.14. The hosts are not in perfect form either, having scored just 4 goals in their last five matches, but their record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses during that period is superior to Chapecoense’s 1 win. The difference in the quality of chances created—Grêmio’s home xG of 1.55 compared with Chapecoense’s away xG of 0.96—points to a controlled home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Chapecoense’s limited attacking efficiency, as they score an average of just 0.64 goals per match and have failed to score in 45% of their games. In the last five matches, BTTS landed in only 40% of cases for both teams, while Grêmio averaged just 0.8 goals per game during this period. Grêmio should still create chances, as their average xG stands at 1.52, whereas Chapecoense allow opponents an xG of 2.14 and have not kept a single clean sheet. The hosts therefore have a strong chance of scoring, but the visitors’ poor attacking average and low goal tally increase the likelihood of a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Chapecoense concede an average of 1.73 goals per match, while their average xG conceded is as high as 2.14, meaning Grêmio should have the conditions to score around 1.62 goals. However, the visitors are offensively limited: they score only 0.64 goals on average, register 2.27 shots on target per match, and failed to score in 45% of their games. In their last five matches, both teams recorded at least three goals in 40% of games, while their average goals scored stood at just 0.8 and 1.0, respectively. Although Grêmio matches often went over 2.5 goals (67%), Chapecoense saw over 3.5 goals in only 9% of games, making Under 3.5 goals the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: Grêmio have been level at the break in 58% of their matches, while Chapecoense have done so in 55%. The visitors have yet to score before half-time and have gone into the interval without a goal in 100% of their matches, which clearly limits the likelihood of them taking the lead at the break. After the interval, however, Grêmio hold a clear attacking quality advantage, averaging 1.52 xG compared with Chapecoense’s 0.96 xG, while their opponents allow an average of 2.14 xG. Chapecoense have not won a single match this season and average just 0.27 points per game, compared with Grêmio’s 0.92. Therefore, the most likely scenario remains a draw at half-time followed by a home win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | Chapecoense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chapecoense is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Grêmio · 1 pts / match - Chapecoense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grêmio is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Grêmio · 2 goals / match - Chapecoense
Grêmio scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Chapecoense keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).
Chapecoense scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grêmio
Over / Under - Chapecoense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grêmio is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Grêmio · 0.7 pts / match - Chapecoense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Chapecoense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grêmio
Chapecoense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | Chapecoense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.62 | ▲ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 58% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Grêmio 0 - 1 - 0 Chapecoense. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grêmio vs Chapecoense?
The Serie A match finished Grêmio 3:1 Chapecoense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Chapecoense?
Grêmio score 1.04 goals per game on average and Chapecoense 1.04. The Serie A average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Grêmio's matches and 61% of Chapecoense's.
What form are Grêmio and Chapecoense in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Chapecoense 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Chapecoense?
The statistical background for Grêmio vs Chapecoense — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.