Brazil - Serie AArena do GrêmioData current as of 19 September 2026

Grêmio vs Palmeiras: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Grêmio vs Palmeiras: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Grêmio play Palmeiras in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Arena do Grêmio.

Current form

Grêmio: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Palmeiras: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Grêmio scores 1.11 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Palmeiras scores 1.74 and concedes 0.78. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Grêmio 59%, Palmeiras 59%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 48%, Palmeiras 52%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Palmeiras has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.25. Grêmio: 11.5 shots per match, Palmeiras: 14.3.

Match halves

Grêmio: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.67. Palmeiras: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.85.

Goals by minute

Grêmio: 46-60 (9 goals). Palmeiras: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.50)
(3.40)
(2.05)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.11Goals scored / match1.74
GrêmioPalmeiras
1.41Goals conceded / match0.78
GrêmioPalmeiras
50%Average possession52%
GrêmioPalmeiras
3.59Shots on target / match4.67
GrêmioPalmeiras

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.48Shots per match14.33
GrêmioPalmeiras
3.59Shots on target4.67
GrêmioPalmeiras
9.7%Shot conversion12.1%
GrêmioPalmeiras
50%Possession52%
GrêmioPalmeiras
1.25xG for1.56
GrêmioPalmeiras
1.64xG against1.44
GrêmioPalmeiras

Shooting quality

Grêmio: BalancedPalmeiras: Attacking
GrêmioPalmeiras
Accuracy (shots on target)31%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Palmeiras is 167% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.6 pts / match - Palmeiras

Grêmio
LWLLL
Season result split
26% W26% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-13
1.04 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 2.20BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Palmeiras
LWDDW
Season result split
59% W30% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-8-3
2.07 pts / match · goal difference +26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-5-2
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WWLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palmeiras is 57% better for: goals scored per match.

1.11 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.74 goals / match - Palmeiras

Palmeiras is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.41 goals / match - Grêmio · 0.78 goals / match - Palmeiras

Grêmio scoring profile: strong

Grêmio scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 matches).

Palmeiras scoring profile: very strong

Palmeiras scores in 89% of matches (24 of 27 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).

30Goals scored (season)47
GrêmioPalmeiras
38Goals conceded (season)21
GrêmioPalmeiras
2.52Average goals in match2.52
GrêmioPalmeiras
6Goals scored (last 5)9
GrêmioPalmeiras
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
GrêmioPalmeiras

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal89%
GrêmioPalmeiras
26%2 goals48%
GrêmioPalmeiras
11%3 goals22%
GrêmioPalmeiras
4%4 goals11%
GrêmioPalmeiras

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal59%
GrêmioPalmeiras
44%2 goals15%
GrêmioPalmeiras
15%3 goals4%
GrêmioPalmeiras
0%4 goals0%
GrêmioPalmeiras

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time22%
GrêmioPalmeiras
11%BTTS in both halves7%
GrêmioPalmeiras
19%Scored in both halves41%
GrêmioPalmeiras

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
GrêmioPalmeiras
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
GrêmioPalmeiras
60%BTTS - last 560%
GrêmioPalmeiras

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
GrêmioPalmeiras
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
GrêmioPalmeiras
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
GrêmioPalmeiras

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
GrêmioPalmeiras
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
GrêmioPalmeiras
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
GrêmioPalmeiras

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palmeiras is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / match - Grêmio · 2 pts / match - Palmeiras

Grêmio - half-time state
19% leading56% draw26% trailing
Palmeiras - half-time state
52% leading44% draw4% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per match (1st half)2
GrêmioPalmeiras
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.89
GrêmioPalmeiras
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.26
GrêmioPalmeiras
1Average goals (1st half)1.15
GrêmioPalmeiras
56%Clean sheet before half-time74%
GrêmioPalmeiras
59%No goal before half-time30%
GrêmioPalmeiras

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)1.48
GrêmioPalmeiras
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
GrêmioPalmeiras
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)0.52
GrêmioPalmeiras
1.52Average goals (2nd half)1.37
GrêmioPalmeiras
37%Clean sheet after half-time59%
GrêmioPalmeiras
56%No goal after half-time41%
GrêmioPalmeiras

Grêmio - second-half results

26% W33% D41% L
30
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding137%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Palmeiras - second-half results

30% W59% D11% L
54
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+17
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Grêmio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.60
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Palmeiras - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.62.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Grêmio
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
6
16-30
6
7
31-45
9
7
46-60
4
11
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Palmeiras
ScoredConceded
7
2
0-15
9
1
16-30
8
4
31-45
7
6
46-60
8
4
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.52
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Grêmio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Palmeiras

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.84
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.66
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
151%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
51%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

GrêmioLigaPalmeiras
Average goals in match 2.522.67 2.52
Both teams scored 59%60% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%51% 52%
Clean sheets 19%23% 41%
Goal before half-time 59%74% 74%
Goal after half-time 78%79% 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Grêmio 1 - 0 - 2 Palmeiras. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

When do Grêmio and Palmeiras play?

Grêmio face Palmeiras on 20 September 2026 in Serie A at Arena do Grêmio. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Palmeiras?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 1, Palmeiras won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Palmeiras?

Grêmio score 1.11 goals per game on average and Palmeiras 1.74. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Grêmio's matches and 59% of Palmeiras's.

What form are Grêmio and Palmeiras in?

Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Palmeiras 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Palmeiras?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grêmio vs Palmeiras: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.