Grêmio vs São Paulo: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Grêmio vs São Paulo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grêmio play São Paulo in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 8 August 2026. Venue: Arena do Grêmio.
Current form
Grêmio: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. São Paulo: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grêmio scores 1.10 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. São Paulo scores 1.25 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grêmio 60%, São Paulo 60%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 40%, São Paulo 40%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
São Paulo has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.24. Grêmio: 11.3 shots per match, São Paulo: 11.8.
Match halves
Grêmio: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.70. São Paulo: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Grêmio: 46-60 (7 goals). São Paulo: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grêmio is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Grêmio · 0.4 pts / match - São Paulo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
São Paulo is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.25 goals / match - São Paulo
São Paulo is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.15 goals / match - São Paulo
Grêmio scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
São Paulo scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Grêmio
Over / Under — São Paulo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
São Paulo is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.3 pts / match - São Paulo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
São Paulo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grêmio
São Paulo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 49% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Grêmio 1 - 0 - 2 São Paulo. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
When do Grêmio and São Paulo play?
Grêmio face São Paulo on 8 August 2026 in Serie A at Arena do Grêmio. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and São Paulo?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 1, São Paulo won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs São Paulo?
Grêmio score 1.10 goals per game on average and São Paulo 1.25. The Serie A average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Grêmio's matches and 60% of São Paulo's.
What form are Grêmio and São Paulo in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and São Paulo 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs São Paulo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grêmio vs São Paulo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.