Grobiņa vs Ogre United: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Grobiņa vs Ogre United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grobiņa play Ogre United in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Grobiņas stadionā.
Current form
Grobiņa: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ogre United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grobiņa scores 0.69 and concedes 1.69 goals per match. Ogre United scores 0.97 and concedes 2.44. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grobiņa 41%, Ogre United 63%. Over 2.5: Grobiņa 31%, Ogre United 66%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Grobiņa: 10.0 shots per match, Ogre United: 10.6.
Match halves
Grobiņa: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.34. Ogre United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Grobiņa: 76-90+ (5 goals). Ogre United: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grobiņa | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grobiņa is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Grobiņa · 0.8 pts / match - Ogre United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ogre United is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
0.69 goals / match - Grobiņa · 0.97 goals / match - Ogre United
Grobiņa is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.69 goals / match - Grobiņa · 2.44 goals / match - Ogre United
Grobiņa scores in 53% of matches (17 of 32 matches), while Ogre United keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 32 matches).
Ogre United scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grobiņa
Over / Under - Ogre United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grobiņa is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Grobiņa · 0.88 pts / match - Ogre United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 16%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ogre United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -17 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grobiņa
Ogre United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Grobiņa | Liga | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 54% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 25% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 74% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Grobiņa 0 - 3 - 0 Ogre United. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Grobiņa and Ogre United play?
Grobiņa face Ogre United on 17 October 2026 in Virsliga at Grobiņas stadionā. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grobiņa and Ogre United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 0, Ogre United won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
Grobiņa score 0.69 goals per game on average and Ogre United 0.97. The Virsliga average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Grobiņa's matches and 63% of Ogre United's.
What form are Grobiņa and Ogre United in?
Over the last 5 games Grobiņa have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ogre United 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
The statistical background for Grobiņa vs Ogre United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.