Grobiņa vs Super Nova: match statistics
Grobiņa vs Super Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grobiņa played Super Nova in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 20 May 2026. Venue: Grobiņas stadionā. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Grobiņa: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Super Nova: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grobiņa scores 0.69 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Super Nova scores 1.15 and concedes 1.38. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grobiņa 38%, Super Nova 69%. Over 2.5: Grobiņa 23%, Super Nova 54%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Super Nova has higher xG: 1.09 vs 1.06. Grobiņa: 8.6 shots per match, Super Nova: 8.3.
Match halves
Grobiņa: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.31. Super Nova: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Grobiņa: 0-15 (3 goals). Super Nova: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-4-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Super Nova is the favorite based on concrete metrics: the visitors have 15 goals this season, averaging 1.00 goal per away match and xG 1.10, whereas Grobiņa scores only 0.57 goals at home with xG 0.97. The visitors average 3.14 shots on target per away match and achieve a 13% conversion rate, while the hosts register only 2 shots on target and a 7% conversion, indicating superior efficiency for Super Nova. Defensively the hosts are problematic — Grobiņa have conceded 21 goals this season and as many as 12 in the last 5 matches (2.4 per match on average), and concede 1.57 goals at home on average; Super Nova concede 1.00 goal on average in away fixtures. In the last 5 matches Grobiņa have not won once (0-4-1) and average 0.8 points per match, while Super Nova are 2-1-2 and average 1.4 points per match, which confirms the visitors' edge. Considering Grobiņa’s 0% home-win rate, the high share of goalless matches for Grobiņa (71%) and the visitors’ superior efficiency and xG, I predict a Super Nova victory, although the hosts’ high draw rate (43%) also gives a realistic chance of a point share.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Grobiņa at home has a seasonal BTTS 100% and 0% clean sheets, concedes on average 1.83 goals per season and as many as 2.4 goals in the last 5 matches, which strongly indicates opponents regularly score against them. Super Nova has a seasonal BTTS 43% and 29% clean sheets, but scores on average 1.0 goal per season and 1.2 goals in the last 5 matches, so they possess sufficient offensive capability to exploit the hosts' defensive weaknesses. Both teams have similar attacking xG: 1.08 (Grobiņa) versus 1.10 (Super Nova), while Grobiņa allows opponent xG of 1.83 versus 1.46 for Super Nova, which suggests bilateral scoring opportunities. Additionally, the league BTTS rate is 60% and both teams have 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches, so based on seasonal and recent form statistics the data also favors a scenario where both teams find the net. Based on these numbers I assess the probability of BTTS at 70% (yes) versus 30% (no) and recommend a "yes" bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Grobiņa scores on average 1.33 goals and concedes 1.83 per match, while Super Nova scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00; home xG is 1.08, away xG 1.10, and xG against is 1.83 for Grobiņa and 1.46 for Super Nova. A simple model (average of home xG_for with away xG_against and vice versa) yields expected 1.27 goals for Grobiņa and 1.46 for Super Nova, totaling 2.73 goals. Season stats show Grobiņa has 100% of matches over 1.5 goals, Super Nova 57%; additionally Grobiņa has 67% of matches over 2.5, Super Nova 43%. Considering the combined expected 2.73, the league average of 3.08 and the high scoring tempo of the home side, the strongest signal is to play Over 1.5 (I assess probability at around 86%). The 2.5 line also shows a moderate edge (~60%), whereas Over 3.5 is unlikely (I estimate ~22%) since the expected 2.73 is well below 3.5 and the away side has 0% of matches over 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is the away side leading at the break and Super Nova winning after 90 minutes (HT/FT 2/2) — I assign this a 34% probability, because Super Nova have won 57% of matches this season versus Grobiņa’s 17%, and in the last five fixtures the visitors led at the break in 40% of cases compared with 0% for the hosts. Grobiņa concede an average of 1.33 goals before half-time and were behind at the break in 50% of their home matches, which suggests the hosts often start matches poorly. Super Nova practically do not concede before half-time (0.14 on average) and score 0.57 goals on average by the break, while their xG_for is slightly higher (xG_for 1.10 versus 1.08 for Grobiņa) with a lower xG_against (1.46 vs 1.83), giving the visitors an advantage for the final result. Additionally, Grobiņa generate a lot of goals before half-time at home (average first-half goals for hosts 2.17 and 100% of matches with at least one goal before the break), yet they earn only 0.83 points per home game versus Super Nova’s 1.71 points per away game, so I expect goals but an away advantage after 90 minutes. Therefore I select HT/FT 2/2 as the strongest signal, with an alternative HT X/FT 2 (22%) if the first half is even.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grobiņa | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Super Nova is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Grobiņa · 1.4 pts / match - Super Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Super Nova is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
0.69 goals / match - Grobiņa · 1.15 goals / match - Super Nova
Super Nova is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - Grobiņa · 1.38 goals / match - Super Nova
Grobiņa scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
Super Nova scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grobiņa
Over / Under - Super Nova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Super Nova is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Grobiņa · 1.31 pts / match - Super Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grobiņa
Super Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Grobiņa | Liga | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.31 | 3.09 | ▼ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 56% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 20% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 77% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Grobiņa 0 - 4 - 1 Super Nova. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
The Virsliga match finished Grobiņa 0:2 Super Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grobiņa and Super Nova?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 0, Super Nova won 1 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
Grobiņa score 0.69 goals per game on average and Super Nova 1.15. The Virsliga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Grobiņa's matches and 69% of Super Nova's.
What form are Grobiņa and Super Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Grobiņa have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Super Nova 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
The statistical background for Grobiņa vs Super Nova — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.