Guaireña vs Encarnación: match statistics
Guaireña vs Encarnación: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Guaireña played Encarnación in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Guaireña: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Encarnación: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Guaireña scores 0.81 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Encarnación scores 0.93 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Guaireña 44%, Encarnación 41%. Over 2.5: Guaireña 41%, Encarnación 41%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Guaireña has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.35. Guaireña: 11.3 shots per match, Encarnación: 10.3.
Match halves
Guaireña: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.48. Encarnación: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Guaireña: 76-90+ (6 goals). Encarnación: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guaireña have a slight home advantage: their average home xG is 1.39, compared with Encarnación’s 1.29 away from home, while the visitors lose 62% of their away matches. However, the hosts are winless in their last 5 matches, scoring just 2 goals and conceding 10; Encarnación have scored 4 goals and recorded 1 win over the same period. Both sides have struggled for goals: Guaireña average 0.69 goals at home and Encarnación 0.77 away, with each team failing to score in 62% of those matches. The visitors concede just 0.92 goals per away match on average, but allow chances worth 1.70 xG, giving the hosts an opportunity to end their drought. A bet on Guaireña is therefore a cautious one, and given both teams’ limited attacking output, a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to Encarnación failing to score: the visitors have been kept off the scoresheet in 62% of their matches and average just 0.77 goals per game. Both teams scored in only 15% of their matches, compared with 64% of Guaireña’s. The hosts’ defence does concede an average of 1.93 goals, which raises the risk, but Encarnación have scored only 0.8 goals per game across their last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 40% of the teams’ last 5 matches, so the more likely scenario is BTTS - No: at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line was not exceeded in 85% of Encarnación’s matches and 57% of Guaireña’s games. The visitors average just 0.77 goals and failed to score in 62% of their matches, limiting the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Guaireña do concede an average of 1.93 goals, but Encarnación allow opponents just 0.92 goals per match, so the defensive data for the two teams point in conflicting directions. In each side’s last five matches, Over 2.5 goals landed 40% of the time, while the projected total of 2.35 goals supports the safer Under 3.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Guaireña’s weakness is the strongest signal for the half-time outcome: the hosts were trailing at the break in 57% of matches and conceded an average of 0.93 goals in the first half, while Encarnación led at the break in 31% of its matches. The visitors kept a clean sheet at half-time in 85% of matches, limiting the hosts’ chances of taking the lead. The full-season record also points to Encarnación holding on to its advantage: Guaireña concede an average of 1.93 goals per match, compared with 0.92 for Encarnación. In their last five matches, the hosts lost four times and failed to score after the break, making an away lead at half-time followed by an away win at full-time the most likely single scenario. However, the risk of a draw remains significant, as Encarnación were level at half-time in 62% of matches and score an average of just 0.77 goals per match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Guaireña | Encarnación | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Encarnación is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Guaireña · 0.8 pts / match - Encarnación
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Encarnación is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
0.81 goals / match - Guaireña · 0.93 goals / match - Encarnación
Guaireña is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Guaireña · 1.44 goals / match - Encarnación
Guaireña scores in 52% of matches (14 of 27 matches), while Encarnación keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
Encarnación scores in 52% of matches (14 of 27 matches), while Guaireña keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Guaireña
Over / Under - Encarnación
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Encarnación is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Guaireña · 1.11 pts / match - Encarnación
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guaireña - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Encarnación - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Guaireña
Encarnación
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Guaireña | Liga | Encarnación | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 56% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Guaireña 2 - 0 - 1 Encarnación. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Guaireña vs Encarnación?
The Division Intermedia match finished Guaireña 1:0 Encarnación. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Guaireña and Encarnación?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Guaireña won 2, Encarnación won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Guaireña vs Encarnación?
Guaireña score 0.81 goals per game on average and Encarnación 0.93. The Division Intermedia average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Guaireña's matches and 41% of Encarnación's.
What form are Guaireña and Encarnación in?
Over the last 5 games Guaireña have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Encarnación 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guaireña vs Encarnación?
The statistical background for Guaireña vs Encarnación — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.