Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding: match statistics
Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Guangxi Hengchen played Yanbian Longding in China League One (China). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Guangxi Hengchen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Yanbian Longding: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Guangxi Hengchen scores 1.71 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Yanbian Longding scores 1.41 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Guangxi Hengchen 52%, Yanbian Longding 50%. Over 2.5: Guangxi Hengchen 52%, Yanbian Longding 45%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Guangxi Hengchen has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.15. Guangxi Hengchen: 14.6 shots per match, Yanbian Longding: 9.9.
Match halves
Guangxi Hengchen: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.05. Yanbian Longding: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Guangxi Hengchen: 61-75 (10 goals). Yanbian Longding: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guangxi Hengchen have a clear home advantage: they win 55% of their home matches and lose just 9%, while Yanbian Longding suffer defeat in 36% of their away games. The hosts create significantly more chances, averaging 16.82 shots and 6 on target per match, compared with 8.09 shots and 2.82 on target for the visitors. The difference is also reflected in chance quality: Guangxi’s average home xG stands at 1.90, compared with Yanbian’s 0.91 away from home, while the hosts’ defence allows just 0.95 xG. Yanbian do have the better shooting conversion rate, 17% compared with 11%, but they fail to score in as many as 45% of their away matches, compared with 18% for Guangxi at home. The teams’ recent form is similar, but the hosts have conceded only 6 goals in their last five matches, compared with 9 for the visitors, further supporting the prediction of a narrow home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is mixed, but the more likely scenario is that at least one team fails to score. Yanbian Longding records BTTS in only 36% of matches, fails to score in 45% of games, and has an average xG of just 0.91. Guangxi Hengchen defend solidly, conceding an average of 0.82 goals per match, while BTTS occurred in only 20% of their last 5 fixtures. The home side should create more chances, as they average 4.45 shots on target compared with their opponents’ 2.82, and their current xG stands at 1.75 versus 1.14 for the visitors. Yanbian’s defensive form is weaker, with an average of 1.8 goals conceded in their last 5 matches, which increases Guangxi’s chances of scoring but does not eliminate the risk of a No Goal outcome for the visitors.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Guangxi Hengchen have solid foundations for scoring: they generate an average of 1.40 xG, while Yanbian Longding allow opponents 1.32 xG per match. However, the visitors are less threatening offensively, producing only 0.91 xG and averaging 2.82 shots on target per game, while the hosts concede an average of 0.82 goals. Across the season, the 3.5-goal line has been exceeded in just 27% of matches involving either team, and the hosts have not allowed any opponent to score more than two goals. The projected total of 2.30 goals points to a scoreline closer to 1:0, 1:1 or 2:1 than to an open, high-scoring game. The strongest signal is therefore Under 3.5, supported by the fact that 73% of matches involving both teams have ended with a maximum of three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Guangxi Hengchen leading at the break and preserving their winning position, as the hosts were ahead after 45 minutes in 60% of their last five matches, conceding no goals before half-time in that period. In the same sample, Yanbian Longding were behind at half-time in 40% of their matches and conceded an average of 0.8 goals in the first half. The hosts have a clear advantage in chance creation: their average xG stands at 1.40 compared with the opponents’ 0.91, while they register an average of 4.45 shots on target versus Yanbian’s 2.82. After the break, Guangxi score an average of 0.91 goals and concede just 0.27, while the visitors concede 0.82 goals, which supports the preservation of an early lead. The 1/1 outcome is also supported by the hosts’ season-long defensive record, with an average of just 0.82 goals conceded per match compared with 1.27 for the visitors.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Guangxi Hengchen | Yanbian Longding | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guangxi Hengchen is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Guangxi Hengchen · 1.2 pts / match - Yanbian Longding
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guangxi Hengchen is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Guangxi Hengchen · 1.41 goals / match - Yanbian Longding
Yanbian Longding is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Guangxi Hengchen · 1.05 goals / match - Yanbian Longding
Guangxi Hengchen scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Yanbian Longding keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Yanbian Longding scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Guangxi Hengchen keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Guangxi Hengchen
Over / Under - Yanbian Longding
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guangxi Hengchen is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Guangxi Hengchen · 1.36 pts / match - Yanbian Longding
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guangxi Hengchen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Yanbian Longding - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Guangxi Hengchen
Yanbian Longding
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Guangxi Hengchen | Liga | Yanbian Longding | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.90 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 53% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Guangxi Hengchen 0 - 1 - 0 Yanbian Longding. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding?
The China League One match finished Guangxi Hengchen 2:1 Yanbian Longding. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding?
Guangxi Hengchen score 1.71 goals per game on average and Yanbian Longding 1.41. The China League One average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Guangxi Hengchen's matches and 50% of Yanbian Longding's.
What form are Guangxi Hengchen and Yanbian Longding in?
Over the last 5 games Guangxi Hengchen have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Yanbian Longding 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.