Guaraní vs Sportivo San Lorenzo: match statistics
Guaraní vs Sportivo San Lorenzo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Guaraní played Sportivo San Lorenzo in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Don Eduardo Acosta Caballero. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Guaraní: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Sportivo San Lorenzo: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Guaraní scores 1.18 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Sportivo San Lorenzo scores 0.50 and concedes 1.82. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Guaraní 47%, Sportivo San Lorenzo 35%. Over 2.5: Guaraní 35%, Sportivo San Lorenzo 38%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Guaraní has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.16. Guaraní: 11.6 shots per match, Sportivo San Lorenzo: 10.8.
Match halves
Guaraní: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74. Sportivo San Lorenzo: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.24.
Goals by minute
Guaraní: 76-90+ (15 goals). Sportivo San Lorenzo: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guaraní are the favourites: they are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning three, while Sportivo San Lorenzo have suffered three defeats over the same period. At home, the hosts average 1.41 goals scored and 1.00 conceded, whereas the visitors score just 0.53 goals and concede 1.88 on the road. The hosts’ edge in chance quality is reflected in the xG figures: Guaraní average 1.39 at home, while Sportivo’s away xG against is 1.80. The visitors have failed to score in 53% of their away matches and lost 76% of them. Combined with the hosts conceding just two goals in their last five matches, this significantly boosts Guaraní’s chances of winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indication in favor of BTTS - No is how often these teams fail to score: Guaraní have been held scoreless in 59% of their matches, while Sportivo San Lorenzo have failed to score in 53%. Both teams have low goals-per-match averages—0.47 and 0.53 respectively—even though their xG stands at 1.18 and 1.13, pointing to difficulties converting chances. The visitors may find it particularly tough, having scored just 3 goals in their last five matches, while Guaraní have conceded only 2 over the same period. The teams’ records do not rule out a home goal, especially as Sportivo concede an average of 1.88 goals, but BTTS - Yes has landed in only 29% of Guaraní’s matches and 41% of the visitors’ games. Therefore, it is more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been breached in 88% of Guaraní’s matches and 76% of Sportivo San Lorenzo’s. Both teams have scored relatively few goals this season, averaging 0.47 and 0.53 per match respectively, while conceding more—1.76 and 1.88. In their last five games, Guaraní averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, with no more than 2 goals in any of those matches. The visitors averaged 0.6 goals scored over the same period, limiting the likelihood of a high-scoring game despite conceding 1.4 goals per match. The projected total of 2.15 goals supports the 3.5 line more strongly than lower lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest HT/FT pick is a draw at half-time followed by a Guaraní win, as the hosts were level at the break in 59% of their matches, compared with 53% for the visitors. In their last five matches, the half-time score was level in three and four games, respectively, further pointing to a closely contested opening period. After the break, the advantage shifts to Guaraní: the hosts averaged 0.35 goals in second halves, compared with 0.12 for the visitors, who lost that half in 71% of their matches. Current form also supports a home win: Guaraní collected 11 points and remained unbeaten in their last five matches, while Sportivo San Lorenzo earned four points and lost three times. The X/1 pick nevertheless remains only moderately confident, as Guaraní averaged just 0.47 goals per match over the season, making a full-time draw a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Guaraní | Sportivo San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guaraní is 1000% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Guaraní · 0.2 pts / match - Sportivo San Lorenzo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guaraní is 136% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Guaraní · 0.5 goals / match - Sportivo San Lorenzo
Guaraní is 94% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Guaraní · 1.82 goals / match - Sportivo San Lorenzo
Guaraní scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Sportivo San Lorenzo keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
Sportivo San Lorenzo scores in 44% of matches (15 of 34 matches), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Guaraní
Over / Under - Sportivo San Lorenzo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guaraní is 74% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Guaraní · 0.74 pts / match - Sportivo San Lorenzo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sportivo San Lorenzo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Guaraní
Sportivo San Lorenzo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Guaraní | Liga | Sportivo San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.12 | 2.44 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 45% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 81% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Guaraní 2 - 0 - 1 Sportivo San Lorenzo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Guaraní vs Sportivo San Lorenzo?
The Division Profesional match finished Guaraní 1:1 Sportivo San Lorenzo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Guaraní and Sportivo San Lorenzo?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 2, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Guaraní vs Sportivo San Lorenzo?
Guaraní score 1.18 goals per game on average and Sportivo San Lorenzo 0.50. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Guaraní's matches and 35% of Sportivo San Lorenzo's.
What form are Guaraní and Sportivo San Lorenzo in?
Over the last 5 games Guaraní have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Sportivo San Lorenzo 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guaraní vs Sportivo San Lorenzo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Guaraní vs Sportivo San Lorenzo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.