South Korea - K League 2Changwon Football CenterData current as of 15 October 2026

Gyeongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Gyeongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gyeongnam play Asan Mugunghwa in K League 2 (South Korea). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Changwon Football Center.

Current form

Gyeongnam: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Asan Mugunghwa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gyeongnam scores 1.19 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Asan Mugunghwa scores 1.35 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gyeongnam 58%, Asan Mugunghwa 58%. Over 2.5: Gyeongnam 35%, Asan Mugunghwa 46%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Asan Mugunghwa has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.35. Gyeongnam: 11.1 shots per match, Asan Mugunghwa: 11.6.

Match halves

Gyeongnam: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.73. Asan Mugunghwa: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.85.

Goals by minute

Gyeongnam: 76-90+ (10 goals). Asan Mugunghwa: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

K League 2: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-2. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.66)
(3.24)
(2.31)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
1.19Goals scored / match1.35
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
1.19Goals conceded / match1.23
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
50%Average possession49%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
3.62Shots on target / match4.27
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.12Shots per match11.58
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
3.62Shots on target4.27
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
10.7%Shot conversion11.6%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
50%Possession49%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
1.35xG for1.45
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
1.39xG against1.4
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa

Shooting quality

Gyeongnam: BalancedAsan Mugunghwa: Balanced
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
Accuracy (shots on target)33%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gyeongnam is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Gyeongnam · 1.4 pts / match - Asan Mugunghwa

Gyeongnam
DWWDL
Season result split
31% W38% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-10-8
1.31 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-2-4
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%
Asan Mugunghwa
WLLWD
Season result split
35% W31% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-8-9
1.35 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-6
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Asan Mugunghwa is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

1.19 goals / match - Gyeongnam · 1.35 goals / match - Asan Mugunghwa

Gyeongnam scoring profile: very strong

Gyeongnam scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Asan Mugunghwa keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).

Asan Mugunghwa scoring profile: very strong

Asan Mugunghwa scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Gyeongnam keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).

31Goals scored (season)35
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
31Goals conceded (season)32
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
2.38Average goals in match2.58
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
3Goals scored (last 5)6
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
2Goals conceded (last 5)6
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal73%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
27%2 goals46%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
12%3 goals15%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
4%4 goals0%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal77%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
31%2 goals35%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
4%3 goals12%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
4%4 goals0%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time19%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
0%BTTS in both halves8%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
19%Scored in both halves23%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
20%BTTS - last 560%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

54%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time54%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Asan Mugunghwa is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.96 pts / match - Gyeongnam · 1.15 pts / match - Asan Mugunghwa

Gyeongnam - half-time state
12% leading62% draw27% trailing
Asan Mugunghwa - half-time state
23% leading46% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.96Points per match (1st half)1.15
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.5
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
1.04Average goals (1st half)1.12
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
58%Clean sheet before half-time58%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
62%No goal before half-time58%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per match (2nd half)1.46
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.62
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
1.35Average goals (2nd half)1.46
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
54%Clean sheet after half-time46%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa
46%No goal after half-time46%
GyeongnamAsan Mugunghwa

Gyeongnam - second-half results

31% W42% D27% L
25
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.96
PPG before half-time
Lead holding258%

Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Asan Mugunghwa - second-half results

35% W42% D23% L
30
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gyeongnam - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.40.6
1 goal20%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Asan Mugunghwa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gyeongnam
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
1
2
16-30
6
9
31-45
3
4
46-60
6
3
61-75
10
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Asan Mugunghwa
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
6
4
16-30
6
7
31-45
7
2
46-60
4
6
61-75
11
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.48
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+11%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gyeongnam

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Asan Mugunghwa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).

Teams vs league

GyeongnamLigaAsan Mugunghwa
Average goals in match▼ 2.382.67• 2.58
Both teams scored▼ 58%61%▼ 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 35%51%▼ 46%
Clean sheets▼ 19%23%• 23%
Goal before half-time▼ 54%67%▼ 65%
Goal after half-time▼ 73%78%• 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / match
1.29
Away goals / match
+7%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Gyeongnam 0 - 2 - 2 Asan Mugunghwa. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 75% matches.

Asan Mugunghwa
1 : 1
Gyeongnam
Asan Mugunghwa FC
1 : 0
Gyeongnam FC
Asan Mugunghwa FC
2 : 2
Gyeongnam FC
Gyeongnam FC
1 : 3
Asan Mugunghwa FC

FAQ

When do Gyeongnam and Asan Mugunghwa play?

Gyeongnam face Asan Mugunghwa on 17 October 2026 in K League 2 at Changwon Football Center. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Gyeongnam and Asan Mugunghwa?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Gyeongnam won 0, Asan Mugunghwa won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Gyeongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Gyeongnam score 1.19 goals per game on average and Asan Mugunghwa 1.35. The K League 2 average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Gyeongnam's matches and 58% of Asan Mugunghwa's.

What form are Gyeongnam and Asan Mugunghwa in?

Over the last 5 games Gyeongnam have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Asan Mugunghwa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gyeongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.