Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema: match statistics
Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hadiya Hosaena play Fasil Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 15 June 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Hadiya Hosaena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Fasil Ketema: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.82 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hadiya Hosaena 47%, Fasil Ketema 26%. Over 2.5: Hadiya Hosaena 24%, Fasil Ketema 18%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Fasil Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.04. Hadiya Hosaena: 6.1 shots per match, Fasil Ketema: 7.2.
Match halves
Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.42. Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (10 goals). Fasil Ketema: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win. Hadiya Hosaena shows a clear form advantage over the last five matches: averaging 1.6 points per game with a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, while Fasil Ketema has only 1 win and 4 losses and 0.6 points per game. The hosts convert chances better at their stadium — shot conversion 15% with an average of 2.24 shots on target per match and only 29% of matches without a goal, whereas the visitors have 9% conversion and 47% of away matches without a goal. Fasil, however, presents solid seasonal defensive numbers (on average 0.76 goals conceded away, 59% clean sheets and xG for 1.15 versus 1.05 for the hosts), but they have conceded 9 goals in their last five fixtures, which lowers their current form. Considering the hosts’ superior form and efficiency, I rank them as favorites, although a draw remains plausible given the opponents’ season-long defensive resilience.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hadiya Hosaena | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fasil Ketema is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.8 pts / match - Fasil Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hadiya Hosaena is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema
Fasil Ketema is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).
Fasil Ketema scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hadiya Hosaena
Over / Under — Fasil Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.42 pts / match - Fasil Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hadiya Hosaena
Fasil Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hadiya Hosaena | Liga | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.74 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 40% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 34% | 40% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hadiya Hosaena 1 - 0 - 0 Fasil Ketema. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 0:1 Fasil Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema?
Hadiya Hosaena score 0.82 goals per game on average and Fasil Ketema 0.74. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 26% of Fasil Ketema's.
What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Fasil Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Fasil Ketema 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema?
The statistical background for Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.