Hadiya Hosaena vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hadiya Hosaena played Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 7 December 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Hadiya Hosaena: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Negele Arsi Ketema: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.63 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.88 and concedes 0.88. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hadiya Hosaena 50%, Negele Arsi Ketema 50%. Over 2.5: Hadiya Hosaena 25%, Negele Arsi Ketema 38%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Negele Arsi Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.11. Hadiya Hosaena: 6.9 shots per match, Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.5.

Match halves

Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.25. Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (3 goals). Negele Arsi Ketema: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
4Shots6
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
2Shots on target2
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.1xG1.06
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
5Corners7
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
96Dangerous attacks74
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
9Fouls14
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0Cards0
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.63Goals scored / match0.88
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1Goals conceded / match0.88
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
46%Average possession47%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.75Shots on target / match2.38
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.88Shots per match7.5
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.75Shots on target2.38
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
9.1%Shot conversion11.7%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
46%Possession47%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.11xG for1.14
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.18xG against1.22
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

Shooting quality

Hadiya Hosaena: BalancedNegele Arsi Ketema: Balanced
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
Accuracy (shots on target)25%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.8 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema

Hadiya Hosaena
LDWDL
Season result split
13% W50% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-3
0.88 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 at home
0-2-1
DLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Negele Arsi Ketema
DDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
25% W50% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-2
1.25 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
LDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

0.63 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.88 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema

Negele Arsi Ketema is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.88 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema

Hadiya Hosaena scoring profile: strong

Hadiya Hosaena scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

Negele Arsi Ketema scoring profile: strong

Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

5Goals scored (season)7
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
8Goals conceded (season)7
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.63Average goals in match1.75
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
4Goals scored (last 5)5
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal63%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%2 goals25%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal63%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
25%2 goals25%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
13%3 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Negele Arsi Ketema - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.4 of 8 matches
41%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Scored in both halves0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
60%BTTS - last 540%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time25%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

2nd half

38%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
13%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.88 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema

Hadiya Hosaena - half-time state
13% leading50% draw38% trailing
Negele Arsi Ketema - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.88Points per match (1st half)1
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.25
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
1Average goals (1st half)0.5
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
38%Clean sheet before half-time75%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
63%No goal before half-time75%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.25
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.25Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.63Average goals (2nd half)1.25
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
75%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema
75%No goal after half-time63%
Hadiya HosaenaNegele Arsi Ketema

Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results

13% W63% R25% P
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results

25% W50% R25% P
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hadiya Hosaena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.40.4
1 goal100%40%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Negele Arsi Ketema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.01.6
1 goal0%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hadiya Hosaena
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Negele Arsi Ketema
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hadiya Hosaena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Negele Arsi Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Hadiya HosaenaLigaNegele Arsi Ketema
Average goals in match 1.631.78 1.75
Both teams scored 50%41% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 25%28% 38%
Clean sheets 38%38% 38%
Goal before half-time 75%56% 25%
Goal after half-time 38%60% 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
41%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 1:2 Negele Arsi Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Hadiya Hosaena score 0.63 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 0.88. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 50% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.

What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Negele Arsi Ketema in?

Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.