Croatia - Prva HNLStadion PoljudData current as of 07 October 2026

Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hajduk Split play Dinamo Zagreb in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Poljud.

Current form

Hajduk Split: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Dinamo Zagreb: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hajduk Split scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Dinamo Zagreb scores 2.43 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.15 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hajduk Split 38%, Dinamo Zagreb 57%. Over 2.5: Hajduk Split 75%, Dinamo Zagreb 71%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Dinamo Zagreb has higher xG: 2.27 vs 1.92. Hajduk Split: 15.6 shots per match, Dinamo Zagreb: 20.0.

Match halves

Hajduk Split: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.13. Dinamo Zagreb: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.43.

Goals by minute

Hajduk Split: 76-90+ (5 goals). Dinamo Zagreb: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prva HNL: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.05)
(3.60)
(2.24)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
2Goals scored / match2.43
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
1Goals conceded / match1.29
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
61%Average possession63%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
6.38Shots on target / match7.29
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.63Shots per match20
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
6.38Shots on target7.29
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
12.8%Shot conversion12.1%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
61%Possession63%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
1.92xG for2.27
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
0.95xG against1.09
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb

Shooting quality

Hajduk Split: DominantDinamo Zagreb: Dominant
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
Accuracy (shots on target)41%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hajduk Split is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Hajduk Split · 2 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb

Hajduk Split
WWWWL
Season result split
63% W13% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-2
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 at home
3-1-0
DWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 0.89BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 60%
Dinamo Zagreb
WDWLW
Season result split
71% W14% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-1
2.29 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 2.03Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dinamo Zagreb is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Hajduk Split · 2.43 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb

Hajduk Split is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Hajduk Split · 1.29 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb

Hajduk Split scoring profile: very strong

Hajduk Split scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Dinamo Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

Dinamo Zagreb scoring profile: very strong

Dinamo Zagreb scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Hajduk Split keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).

16Goals scored (season)17
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
8Goals conceded (season)9
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
3Average goals in match3.71
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
11Goals scored (last 5)11
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
3Goals conceded (last 5)9
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal100%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
63%2 goals86%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
25%3 goals43%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
25%4 goals14%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal57%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
38%2 goals43%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
13%3 goals14%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
0%4 goals14%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time29%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
13%BTTS in both halves14%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
63%Scored in both halves57%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
38%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
0%BTTS - last 580%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time57%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hajduk Split is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.13 pts / match - Hajduk Split · 1.71 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb

Hajduk Split - half-time state
63% leading25% draw13% trailing
Dinamo Zagreb - half-time state
57% leading0% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.13Points per match (1st half)1.71
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
0.88Goals scored (1st half)1
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.86
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
75%Clean sheet before half-time43%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
25%No goal before half-time29%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)2.14
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
1.13Goals scored (2nd half)1.43
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.86
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
50%Clean sheet after half-time71%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
25%No goal after half-time14%
Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb

Hajduk Split - second-half results

38% W38% D25% L
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Dinamo Zagreb - second-half results

57% W43% D0% L
12
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hajduk Split - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.402.00
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Dinamo Zagreb - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match2.02.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hajduk Split
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
0
3
31-45
4
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Dinamo Zagreb
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
4
1
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.36
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
88%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hajduk Split

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.97
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Dinamo Zagreb

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
206%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

Hajduk SplitLigaDinamo Zagreb
Average goals in match▼ 3.003.15▲ 3.71
Both teams scored▼ 38%51%▲ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 75%64%▲ 71%
Clean sheets▲ 50%28%▲ 43%
Goal before half-time▲ 88%72%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 88%79%▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.15
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.97
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+67%
Home attack advantage
+40%
Home defence advantage
+44%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Hajduk Split 0 - 1 - 3 Dinamo Zagreb. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Hajduk Split and Dinamo Zagreb play?

Hajduk Split face Dinamo Zagreb on 10 October 2026 in Prva HNL at Stadion Poljud. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hajduk Split and Dinamo Zagreb?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Hajduk Split won 0, Dinamo Zagreb won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Hajduk Split score 2.00 goals per game on average and Dinamo Zagreb 2.43. The Prva HNL average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Hajduk Split's matches and 57% of Dinamo Zagreb's.

What form are Hajduk Split and Dinamo Zagreb in?

Over the last 5 games Hajduk Split have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Dinamo Zagreb 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

The statistical background for Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.