Hajduk Split vs Varaždin: match statistics
Hajduk Split vs Varaždin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hajduk Split play Varaždin in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 18:45. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Hajduk Split: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Varaždin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hajduk Split scores 1.69 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Varaždin scores 1.31 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hajduk Split 44%, Varaždin 61%. Over 2.5: Hajduk Split 44%, Varaždin 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Hajduk Split has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.37. Hajduk Split: 14.4 shots per match, Varaždin: 11.5.
Match halves
Hajduk Split: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.92. Varaždin: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Hajduk Split: 76-90+ (14 goals). Varaždin: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Hajduk Split is the favorite for this fixture: at home they average 1.50 goals scored and only 0.88 conceded, have a 63% win rate, 44% clean sheets and only 13% scoreless games, indicating defensive stability and attacking efficiency. Varaždin away scores 1.13 on average and concedes 1.38, has just a 31% away win rate and 19% clean sheets, while 25% of their away matches finish goalless, which limits their points potential. The gap in quality of chances is clear: Hajduk’s home xG-for is 1.87 with xG-against 1.09, whereas Varaždin’s away xG-for is 1.24 with xG-against 1.78; hosts average 15.25 shots (5.94 on target) versus the visitors’ 10.31 (3.56 on target). In the last 5 matches Varaždin have 2.0 points per game and have scored 7 while conceding 4, and Hajduk have 1.6 points with 6 scored and 4 conceded, so the visitors have the better recent run, but that advantage is offset by their weaker away metrics. Considering the superiority in xG, possession (59% vs 43%) and clearly better clean sheet figures for the hosts, I assess a Hajduk victory as the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hajduk Split | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hajduk Split is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Hajduk Split · 1.4 pts / match - Varaždin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hajduk Split is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - Hajduk Split · 1.31 goals / match - Varaždin
Hajduk Split is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Hajduk Split · 1.28 goals / match - Varaždin
Hajduk Split scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
Varaždin scores in 83% of matches (30 of 36 matches), while Hajduk Split keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hajduk Split
Over / Under — Varaždin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hajduk Split is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.61 pts / match - Hajduk Split · 1.44 pts / match - Varaždin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hajduk Split - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hajduk Split
Varaždin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Hajduk Split | Liga | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.69 | 2.66 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 28% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Hajduk Split 0 - 2 - 1 Varaždin. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hajduk Split vs Varaždin?
The Prva HNL match finished Hajduk Split 3:1 Varaždin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hajduk Split and Varaždin?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hajduk Split won 0, Varaždin won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hajduk Split vs Varaždin?
Hajduk Split score 1.69 goals per game on average and Varaždin 1.31. The Prva HNL average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Hajduk Split's matches and 61% of Varaždin's.
What form are Hajduk Split and Varaždin in?
Over the last 5 games Hajduk Split have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Varaždin 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hajduk Split vs Varaždin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.