Haka vs KäPa: match statistics
Haka vs KäPa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Haka played KäPa in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match was played on 25 July 2026. Venue: Tehtaan kenttä. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Haka: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. KäPa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Haka scores 1.73 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. KäPa scores 1.13 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Haka 53%, KäPa 60%. Over 2.5: Haka 53%, KäPa 67%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Haka has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.40. Haka: 12.0 shots per match, KäPa: 11.3.
Match halves
Haka: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.27. KäPa: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Haka: 76-90+ (8 goals). KäPa: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ykkösliiga: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match favorites are hosts Haka: they have scored 26 goals this season and average 2.25 goals per home game, whereas KäPa have 17 goals this season and average 1.00 goal away. Haka create noticeably more chances — averaging 13 shots and 5.13 shots on target per home match with xG 1.67, versus KäPa’s 9.86 shots and 3.14 shots on target with xG 1.26, with shot conversion 17% compared to 10%. Defensively Haka concede 1.5 goals per home match (xG against 1.22), while KäPa concede 1.71 away (xG against 1.57), which together with Haka’s +6 goal difference and KäPa’s -5 gives the hosts the edge. Recent form over the last 5 matches also favors Haka: they have scored 8 goals, recorded 2 wins and average 1.4 points per game, whereas KäPa scored 6 goals, won 1 match, average 0.8 points per game and have conceded 11 goals. Additionally KäPa failed to score in 29% of their away matches compared to only 13% for Haka, therefore I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a clear BTTS trend: Haka has a seasonal BTTS rate of 63% and KäPa 57%, and in the last 5 matches both have BTTS at 60%. Goals scored/conceded analysis shows Haka averages 1.25 goals scored and concedes 1.5 this season, while KäPa scores 1.00 and concedes 1.71; in the last 5 matches Haka averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded, whereas KäPa averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded. xG confirms the goal-risk on both sides: Haka’s attacking xG is 1.53 versus KäPa’s 1.26, and xG against are 1.58 and 1.57, suggesting both teams create chances and are vulnerable to conceding. Haka averages 12.63 shots with 4.13 on target, KäPa 9.86 with 3.14 on target, and clean sheet percentages are low (13% and 14%), which supports a BTTS - Yes scenario. Additionally, 63% of Haka’s matches and 71% of KäPa’s matches finish over 2.5 goals, and both teams are above the league BTTS average of 44%, so I predict BTTS = Yes with approximately 70% probability versus 30% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and the opponent’s defense I estimate about 2.97 goals in the match: 1.55 for Haka (home attacking xG 1.53 and xG conceded vs KäPa 1.57 average to 1.55) and 1.42 for KäPa (attacking xG 1.26 and xG conceded vs Haka 1.58 yield 1.42). Season percentages support Over 2.5: Haka have 63% of matches over 2.5, KäPa 71%, and in the last 5 matches 60% and 80% Over 2.5 respectively. Both teams frequently both score (BTTS 63% for Haka and 57% for KäPa) and their season goal records (Haka 26 scored/17 conceded, KäPa 17/24) increase the likelihood of at least three goals. Average shots confirm attacking potential: Haka average 12.63 shots with 4.13 on target, KäPa 9.86 with 3.14 on target, with a similar conversion rate ~10%, which aligns with expected xG. Given the above the best line to play is Over 2.5 (I pick “over” at line 2.5) — this is the strongest signal considering the expected 2.97 goals and the season and recent stats (therefore I rate Over 2.5 at ~70%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Haka win at full-time (X/1). Haka holds an offensive edge: average xG 1.53 versus 1.26 for KäPa, 12.63 shots versus 9.86 and 4.13 shots on target versus 3.14, indicating greater ability of the home side to create chances. At half-time the hosts were tied in 50% of their home matches, and in the last 5 games KäPa averaged only 0.4 points gained by half-time, so a draw HT is realistic. After the break KäPa concedes on average 1.14 goals versus 0.75 conceded by Haka, which increases the likelihood that Haka will turn the score in their favor in the second half; therefore 30% for X/1, 20% for X/X and 18% for 1/1 are the primary options.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Haka | KäPa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Haka is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Haka · 0.8 pts / match - KäPa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Haka is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Haka · 1.13 goals / match - KäPa
Haka is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Haka · 1.6 goals / match - KäPa
Haka scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while KäPa keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
KäPa scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Haka keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Haka
Over / Under - KäPa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KäPa is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Haka · 1.4 pts / match - KäPa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Haka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KäPa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Haka
KäPa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).
Teams vs league
| Haka | Liga | KäPa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.87 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 44% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 44% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 60% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Haka 0 - 1 - 0 KäPa. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Haka vs KäPa?
The Ykkösliiga match finished Haka 3:1 KäPa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Haka vs KäPa?
Haka score 1.73 goals per game on average and KäPa 1.13. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Haka's matches and 60% of KäPa's.
What form are Haka and KäPa in?
Over the last 5 games Haka have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and KäPa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Haka vs KäPa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Haka vs KäPa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.